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Arizona Secretary of State - Election Department
2008 Arizona Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline: 12/17/07, Presidential Primary: 2/5/08, New Party Filing Deadline 4/15/08, Primary Filing Deadline: 6/4/08, Independent Filing Deadline: 6/4/08, Independent Presidential Filing Deadline: 6/4/08, Primary Write-in Deadline: 7/24/08, Primary: 9/2/08, Write-In Deadline: 9/25/08, General Election: 11/4/08,
Last Updated: April 16, 2008
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,
President, 54.9% in '04 for Bush, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
U.S. Sen. Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY) 50.49%,
U.S. Sen. Barack H. Obama (D-IL) 42.12%, ex-U.S. Sen. John R. Edwards (D-NC) 5.30%, Gov. William B. "Bill" Richardson (D-NM) 0.63%, U.S. Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich (D-OH) 0.44%, Sandy Whitehouse (D-AZ) 0.14%, U.S. Sen. Christopher J. "Chris" Dodd (D-CT) 0.11%, Edward Dobson (D-AZ) 0.09%, ex-U.S. Sen. Maurice "Mike" Gravel (D-AK) 0.08, Richard Grayson (D-AZ) 0.07%, Col. Karl E. Krueger (D-SD) 0.06%, retiree Frank Lynch (D-FL) 0.05%, William Campbell (D-AZ) 0.05%, Chuck See (D-AZ) 0.05%, Libby Hubbard (D-AZ) 0.04, Michael Oatman (D-AZ) 0.04%, Rich Lee (D-WA) 0.04%, Peter "Simon" Bollander (D-AZ) 0.03%, '04 candidate Evelyn L. Vitullo (D-AZ) 0.03%, Philip Tanner (D-AZ) 0.03%, Tish Haymer (D-AZ) 0.02%, Balance Party candidate Orion Karl Daley (D-NY) 0.02%, Leland Montell (D-AZ) 0.02%, Loti Gest (D-AZ) 0.02,
U.S. Sen. John S. McCain, III (R-AZ) 47.37%,
ex-Gov. W. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 34.26%, ex-Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) 8.98%, U.S. Rep. Ronald E. "Ron" Paul (R-TX) 4.18%, ex-New York City Mayor Rudolph W. "Rudy" Giuliani (R-NY) 2.60%, ex-U.S. Sen. Fred D. Thompson (R-TN) 1.81%, U.S. Rep. Duncan L. Hunter (R-CA) 0.20%, ex-Amb. Alan L. Keyes (R-MD) 0.18%, John R. McGrath (R-AZ) 0.09%, Frank Edward McEnulty (R-CA) 0.06%, Sean "CF" Murphy (R-AZ) 0.05%, James Creighton "Mitch" Mitchell Jr. (R-IL) 0.03%, John Michael Fitzpatrick (R-NY) 0.03%, David Ruben (R-AZ) 0.02%, Michael Burzynski (R-AZ) 0.02%, '88 congressional candidate / retired Gen. Jerry R. Curry (R-VA) 0.02%, '02 Senate candidate / '04 & '06 Congressional candidate / dentist / fugitive Jack Shepard (R-MN) 0.01%, Robert L. "Bob" Forthan (R-OR) 0.01%, Michael P. Shaw (R-AZ) 0.01%, Hugh Cort, III (R-AL) 0.01, Rick Outzen (R-FL) 0.01%, businessman Daniel A. "Dan" Gilbert (R-NC) 0.01%, Charles Skelley (R-AZ) 0.01, Rhett R. Smith (R-TX) 0.01%,
Libertarian nominee
Green Party nominee
Governor, 62.6% in '06, 2nd term, Napolitano barred from 3rd term, next election in 2010, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Janet Napolitano (D),
Mayor Phil Gordon (D),
Secretary of State, 57.2% in '06, 2nd term, next election in 2010
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Jan Brewer (R),
Attorney General, 60.2% in'06, 2nd term, next election in 2010
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Samuel P. "Terry" Goddard (D),
Treasurer, 56.7% in '06, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Dean Martin (D),
Superintendent of Schools, 53.7% in'06, 2nd term, next election in 2010
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Tom Horne (R),
Mine Inspector, unopposed in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Joe Hart (R),
Senator, 76.7% in '04, 4th term, Next election in 2010, running for President, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Unrated,
real estate developer Jim Pederson (D)?, U.S. Rep. Ed Pastor (D)?, Att. Gen. Terry Goddard (D)?, John McCain, III (R),
attorney Grant Woods (R), attorney Patrick McGroder (R), congressional aide Deb Gullett (R), Sec. of St. Jan Brewer (R), retiring U.S. Rep. John Shadegg (R),
Senator, 53.3% in '06, 3rd term, next election in 2012,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Unrated,
Jon Kyl (R),
1st Congressional District, 51.8% in '06, Richard G. "Rick" Renzi (R) retiring after 3rd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: 9th Most Likely Seat to Switch Parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Roll Call's Outlook: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss Up, Robert Novak: Likely Democratic Target,
Jeffrey Brown (D), ex-St. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D), attorney Howard M. Shanker (D), ex-TV reporter Mary Kim Titla (D), '02 candidate / trade assoc. exec. dir.. Sydney Ann Hay (R), businessman Preston Korn (R), St. Rep. Andrew M. "Andy" Tobin (R), Brent Geer Maupin (I),
2nd Congressional District, 58.6% in '06, 3rd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
John Thrasher (D), Trent Franks (R),
3rd Congressional District, 59.3% in '06, 7th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican,
Bob Lord (D), John Shadegg (R),
ex-St. Rep. Steve May (R)?,
Annie Loyd (I),
4th Congressional District 72.5% in '06, 9th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Ed Pastor (D),
5th Congressional District, 50.4% in '06, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Democratic, NRCC Target,
Harry E. Mitchell (D), ex-St. Rep. Mark Anderson (R), ex-St. Rep. / ex-St. Sen. Laura Knaperek (R), lobbyist Jim Ogsbury (R), ex-Co. Treas. David Schweikert (R), '00 candidate Susan Bitter Smith (R), St. Rep. Michele Reagan (R)?,
6th Congressional District, 74.8% in '06, 4th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
author Richard Grayson (D), Jeffrey Flake (R),
7th Congressional District, 61.1% in '06, 3rd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Raul M. Grijalva (D), pastor Gene Chewning (R),
8th Congressional District, 54.3% in '06, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Democratic, NRCC Target,
Gabrielle "Gabby" Giffords (D), St. Sen. Timothy S. Bee (R), veteran Derek Tidball (I),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Roll Call's Outlook,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
National Journal's Rankings,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Arizona Political Parties:
(Com) = Communist Party
(Cf) = Confederate Party
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(IA) = Independent American Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Labor) = Labor Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Arizona Media Links:
Arizona Capitol Times
Arizona Daily Star
Arizona Daily Sun
Arizona Republic - Politics Section
Bisbee Observer
Casa Grande Dispatch
Desest Foothill Newspapers
Cave Creek Sonoran News
Douglas Daily Dispatch
Echo Magazine
East Valley Tribune
Kingman Daily Miner
KOLD TV-13
Lake Havasu City News-Herald
Navajo Hopi Observer
Payson Roundup
Phoenix New Times
PHXNews.com
Prescott Newspapers
Sedona Red Rock News
Sierra Vista Herald
Yuma Daily Sun


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