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Florida Department of State - Division of Elections
2010 Florida Congressional and Statewide Races
Federal Filing Deadline: 4/30/10, State Filing Deadline: 6/18/10, Primary: 8/24/10, General Election: 11/2/10,
Last Updated: February 4, 2010
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,
Governor, 52.2% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Charlie Crist (R) running for the U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: One of the Most Likely Governor to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Hotline's Competitive Governor Race, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Republican Hold,
CFO Adelaide "Alex" Sink (D), ex-teacher Joseph "Trinidad Joe" Allen (D), urban planner Michael E. Arth (D), Phillip J. Kennedy (D), businessman Farid A. Khavari (D), Anthony "Tony" Knox, Sr. (D), Josue Larose (D), Darrin E. McGillis (D), Ted Devine (R), St. Sen. Paula Dockery (R), anti-gay activist Ed Heeney (R), St. Att. Gen. Ira William "Bill" McCollum (R), James A. Van Driessche (R), John Wayne Smith (L),
Peter Allen (I),
Karl CC Behm (I),
Herman L. Giger (I),
Lesther Trujillo (I),
C.C. Reed (I),
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., 52.2% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Jeffrey D. "Jeff" Kottkamp (R) running for Attorney General,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
St. Rep. Anitere Flores (R)?, J.J. McCurry (L),
Attorney General, 52.7% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Ira William "Bill" McCollum (R) running for Governor
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
St. Sen. Dave Aronberg (D), St. Sen. Dan Gelber (D), ex-St. Health Sec. Holly Benson (R), prosecutor Pam Bondi (R), Lt. Gov. Jeffrey D. "Jeff" Kottkamp (R), Jim Lewis (R),
Chief Financial Officer, 53.5 in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Adelaide "Alex" Sink (D) running for Governor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
ex-St. Rep. Loranne Ausley (D), Joshua Larose (D), account Ken Mazzie (D), St. Sen. Jeff Atwater (R), St. Rep. Pat Patterson (R), civil engineer Richard Paul Dembinsky (I),
Agriculture Commissioner, 57.0% in '06, Charles H. "Charlie" Bronson (R) barred from 3rd term, next election in 2010
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
St. Rep. Debbie Boyd (D)?, Audubon political director Eric Draper (D)?, Co. Water Commissioner Thaddeus "Thad" Hamilton (D), ex-Suwanee Co. Comm'r. Randy Hatch (D), ex-Mayor Scott Maddox (D), ex-St. Rep. O.R. "Rick" Minton, Jr. (D), authro Darcy Richardson (D), St. Sen. Carey Baker (R), U.S. Rep. Adam Hughes Putnam (R), Real Food Party candidate James "Jimmy" Harlin Carter (I),
Senator, 49.4% in '04, Melquiades Rafael "Mel" Martinez (R) resigned during 1st term, George LeMieux (R) will not run in next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Chris Cillizza: One of the Most Likely Seats to Switch Party, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Hotline's Competitive Senate Race, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Clear Advantage Republican, Ken Rubin: Republican Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
ex-Miami Mayor Maurice Ferré (D), U.S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D), Tyrone K. Brown, Sr. (D), Mayor Kevin Burns (D), Raphael Herman (D), Chuck Lynch (D), retired postal worker Lawrence Penpek (D), Gov. Charlie Crist (R), ex-St. Rep. Marco Rubio (R), ex-U.S. Sen. Robert C. "Bob" Smith (R), USMIC vet. / enigneer Bob Coggins (R), Bernie DeCastro (R), Thomas Andrew Mangum (R), evangelist Gwyndolyn "Gwyn" McClellan (R), Belinda G. Q. Noah (R), businessman Shawn Teeters (R), '08 congressional nominee / ex-st. Chief Medical Officer Marion D. Thorpe, Jr. (R), Attorney Linda Vasquez Littlefield (R)?, real estate broker / ex-Ohio St. Sen. Tom Walsh (R)?, salesman Alexander A. Snitker (L),
Dennis F. Bradley (V),
USMC veteran Jorge A. Lovenguth (T),
Prof. Marshall L. DeRosa (C)?,
Lewis J. Armstrong (I), Bobby Bean (I), prof. Todd Oifer (I), prof. Piotr Blass (I)?, accountant Dave Roberts (I)?,
Senator, 60.3% in '06, 2nd term, Next election in 2012,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Unrated,
Bill Nelson (D),
1st Congressional District, 70.2% in '08, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
retired paratrooper James "Jim" Bryan (D), Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller (R),
pastor John E. Krause (R),
teacher Henry A. Kelley, Jr. (I),
2nd Congressional District, 61.9% in '08, 7th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic,
F. Allen Boyd Jr (D),
St. Sen. Alfred "Al" Lawson, Jr. (D),
ex-professional football player Peter Boulware (R)?, '08 candidate / sales rep. Eddie Hendry, Jr. (R), aerospace engineer Carl Meece, Jr. (R), attorney Charlie Ranson (R), Steve Southerland (R), Paul Crandall McKain (Whig),
Steve Wilkie (G),
Ray Netherwood (I),
instructor Robert Ortiz (WI),
3rd Congressional District, unopposed in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Corrine Brown (D), James Gilman (R), WWII vet Jacob W. Hoechst (R), businessman Mike Yost (R), John Annarumma (Whig),
George Scott MacNaughton (L),
general contractor Terry Martin-Back (I),
4th Congressional District, 65.3% in '08, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
Ander Crenshaw (R),
retired chief Petty Officer Troy D. Stanley (R),
author Gary L. Koniz (I),
5th Congressional District, 61.2% in '08, 4th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
attorney Thomas J. "Tom" Doolan (D), James J. "Jim" Piccillo (D), disabled ex-truck driver H. David Werder (D), Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite (R),
unempoloyed engineer Jason P. Sager (R),
6th Congressional District, 60.9% in '08, 11th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
Clifford B. "Cliff" Stearns (R),
7th Congressional District, 62.0% in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
'08 nominee economist Faye Armitage (D), veteran Heather M. Beaven (D), banker Peter Silva (D), John L. Mica (R), insurance underwriter Stephen J. Bacon (Whig),
Ralph Morris (I),
8th Congressional District, 52.0% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, DCCC Frontline member, Hotline's Competitive House Race, Roll Call's Outlook: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic,
Alan Grayson (D),
Jim Holcomb (D),
Kevin M. Butler (R)?, William J. Collins IV (R)?, businessman W. Bruce O'Donoghue (R), consultant Peg Dunmire (R), pilot Dan Fanelli (R), ex-Co. Comm'r. Teresa Jacobs (R)?, St. Rep. Kurt Kelly (R), activist Albert Guy Kerr (R), '08 candidate / attorney Todd W. Long (R), restaurateur Craig Miller (R), anesthesiologist Ken Miller (R), stay-at-home mom Patricia Sullivan (R), Barry Watson (R), Thomas L. Gregory (I), Marvin Hutson (I)?,
9th Congressional District, 62.2% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
Gus M. Bilirakis (R),
businessman Arthur Richardson III (R),
10th Congressional District, 60.7% in '08, 20th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
St. Sen. Charlie Justice (D), C.W. "Bill" Young (R),
police officer Eric L. Forcade (R),
11th Congressional District, 71.7% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Katherine Anne "Kathy" Castor (D), '08 nominee Eddie Adams, Jr. (R), security engineer Tony Buntyn (R), Thomas C. Castellano (R), Herbert Coachman (R), Scott Keller (R), ex-Army officer Mike Prendergrast (R), Steven C. Stanford (R),
12th Congressional District, 57.5% in '08, 5th term, Adam Hughes Putnam (R) running for Agriculture Commissioner, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,
ex-St. Rep. Lori Edwards (D), '08 nominee / Navy master chief Douglas D. "Doug" Tudor (D), ex-St. Rep. Dennis A. Ross (R), Bradley D. Kallhoff (R), John W. Lindsey, Jr. (R), Co. Comm'r. Randy Wilkinson (R)?, banker Thomas Snider (L),
TEA Party activist John Osinski (I),
13th Congressional District, 55.5% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, DCCC Target,
activist Morgan Bentley (D), St. Rep. Keith Fitzgerald (D)?, ex-city councilman James T. Golden (D), '06 & '08 nominee / ex-bank president / '04 candidate Christine L. Jennings (D), Vern Buchanan (R), John Gish (I),
14th Congressional District, 59.4% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
businessman Robert Neeld (D), James L. Roach (D), Connie Mack, IV (R),
15th Congressional District, 53.1% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,
attorney Jonathan F. "Jon" Bull (D), Ciy Council member Shannon Roberts (D), William "Bill" Posey (R),
16th Congressional District, 60.1% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 12th Most Likely Seat to Switch Parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, NRCC Target,
Co. Comm'r. Chris Craft (D), Co. Comm'r. Doug Coward (D)?, Thomas J. "Tom" Rooney (R) ,
17th Congressional District, unopposed in '08, 4th term, Kendrick B. Meek (D) running for U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
realtor Leroy Adam (D), activist Marleine M. Bastein (D), ex-St. Rep. Phillip J. Brutus (D), St. Rep. James Bush, III (D), Mayor Shirley Gibson (D), physician Rudolph "Rudy" Moise (D), St. Rep. Yolly Roberson (D), attorney Roderick D. Vereen (D), Comm'r. André L. Williams (D), St. Sen. Frederica S. Wilson (D), teacher Corey B. Poitier (R),
18th Congressional District, 57.9% in '08, 11th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican,
St. Rep. Luis R. Garcia, Jr. (D)?, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R),
19th Congressional District, 66.2% in '08, Robert Wexler (D) resigning during 7th term, Polls
Primary: 2/2/10, General Election: 4/13/10, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
St. Sen. Ted Deutch (D), '08 nominee Edward J. Lynch (R), Jim McCormick (I),
20th Congressional District, 77.2% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D), businessman Stephen Dworkowitz (R), businesswoman Karen Harrington (R), businessman Dennis Lamb (R), businessman Robert Lowry (R), Brian Reilly (R), Clayton Schock (Whig),
Marc Luzietti (S),
21st Congressional District, 57.9% in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,
William Sanchez (D), Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R),
attorney William Sanchez (R),
22nd Congressional District, 54.6% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic,
Ron Klein (D),
St. Sen. Dave Aronberg (D)?, pilot Paul Renneisen (D),
David C. Brady (R), '08 nominee / retired Lt. Col. Allen B. West (R),
23rd Congressional District, 82.1% in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Alcee L. Hastings (D), realtor Bernard Sansaricq (R),
24th Congressional District, 57.2% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, DCCC Frontline member, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democrat, DCCC Target,
Suzanne M. Kosmas (D),
ex-Mayor Paul Partyka (D)?,
St. Rep. Sondra "Sandy" Adams (R), businessman Sean F. Campbell (R), Jason Davis (R), accountant Edward W. Dedelow (R), City Comm'r. Karen Diebel (R), businessman Jim Foster (R), pilot G. Tom Garcia (R), retiree James P. "Heinie" Heinzelman, Sr. (R), attorney Deon Long (R), veteran Chad MacInnes (R), Michael John Pompura (R), Robert L. Robey (R), author Nicholas Ruiz, III (G),
Larry Sinclair (I),
25th Congressional District, 53.1% in '08, 4th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
Luis A. Rivera (D), Mario Diaz-Balart (R), Craig Porter (Whig),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Roll Call's Outlook,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Florida Political Parties:
(A1) = America First Party
(AR) = American Reform Party
(B) = British Reformed Sectarian Party
(Ch) = Christian Party
(Com) = Communist Party
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(F&P) = Faith & Patience Inc. gg
(FV) = Family Value Party
(G) = Green Party
(Ind) = Independence Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Ind2) = Independent Party
(IA) = Independent American Party
(ID) = Independent Democrat Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Pro) = Prohibition Party
(PL) = Progressive Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(Surf) = Surfers Party
(T) = TEA Party
(V) = Veterans Party
(WW) = World Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Florida Media Links:
Apalachicola Times
Boca Raton News
Bradenton Herald
Broward Times
Broward & Palm Beach New Times
Cedar Key Beacon
Charlotte Sun-Herald
Citrus County Chronicle
Daytona Beach News-Journal
Destin Log
Everglades Echo
Fernandina Beach News Leader
Florida Keys Keynoter
Florida Outlooks
Florida Politics
Florida Times-Union
Florida Today
Fort Lauderdale Express
Fort Lauderdale Sun-Sentinel
Fort Myers News-Press
Fort Pierce Tribune
Gadsden County Times
Gainesville Sun
Golden Gate Gazette
The Grapefruit
Gulfshore Business
Hernando Today
Jacksonville Business Journal
Jacksonville Florida Times-Union
Jupiter Courier
Key West Citizen
Lake City Reporter
Lakeland Ledger
Leesburg Daily Commercial
Marathon Keynoter
Marco Daily News / Marco Island Eagle
Melbourne Florida Today
Miami Herald
Miami Nuevo Herald
Miami Jewish Star Times
Miami New Times
Miami-Dade County Campaigns and Politics
Naples Daily News
Northwest Florida Daily News
Ocala Star-Banner
Orlando Sentinel
Palatka Daily News
Palm Beach Post
Panama City News-Herald
Pasco News
Pensacola News Journal
Political Gateway - Florida
Ponte Vedra Beach & Jacksonville Beaches Leader
St. Augustine Record
St. Petersburg Times
Sarasota Herald-Tribune
Sayfie Review
Sebring News-Sun
South Florida Daily Business Review
South Florida Business Journal
SteveKaneShow.com
Stuart News
Sumter County Times
Tallahassee Democrat
Tampa Bay Business Journal
Tampa Tribune
TWN: The Weekly News
Vero Beach Press Journal
WBZL TV-39
WFOR TV-4
WhoseFlorida.com
WFTS TV-28
Winter Haven News Chief
WPLG TV-10
WSVN TV-7


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