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Florida Department of State - Division of Elections
2010 Florida Congressional and Statewide Races
Federal Filing Deadline: 4/30/10, State Filing Deadline: 6/18/10, Primary: 8/24/10, General Election: 11/2/10,
Last Updated: November 3, 2010 |
| Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media, |
Governor, 52.2% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Charlie Crist (R) running for the U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Hotline's Competitive Governor Race, Rasmussen Reports' Gubernatorial Scorecard: Toss-Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss-Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, |
| CFO Adelaide "Alex" Sink (D) 47.7%, |
businessman Richard L. "Rick" Scott (R) 48.9%, |
Peter L. Allen (Ind) 2.3%, |
| C.C. Reed (I) 0.4%, |
| urban planner Michael E. Arth (I) 0.3%, |
| '08 presidential candidate Daniel J. Imperato (I) 0.3%, |
| businessman Farid A. Khavari (I) 0.1%, |
| realtor Josue Larose (WI) 0.01%, |
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., 52.2% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Jeffrey D. "Jeff" Kottkamp (R) ran for Attorney General,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat, |
| '06 Gov. candidate / ex-St. Sen. Rod Smith (D) 47.7%, |
St. Rep. Jennifer Carroll (R) 48.9%, |
John E. Zanni (Ind) 2.3%, |
| Larry Waldo, Sr. (I) 0.4%, |
| Al Krulick (I) 0.3%, |
| Karl CC Behm (I) 0.3%, |
| Darcy Richardson (I) 0.1%, |
| Valencia St. Louis (WI) 0.01%, |
Attorney General, 52.7% in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Ira William "Bill" McCollum (R) ran for Governor, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, |
| St. Sen. Dan Gelber (D) 41.4%, |
prosecutor Pam Bondi (R) 54.8%, |
Jim Lewis (I) 3.8%, |
Chief Financial Officer, 53.5 in '06, 1st term, next election in 2010, Adelaide "Alex" Sink (D) running for Governor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, |
| ex-St. Rep. Loranne Ausley (D) 38.9%, |
St. Sen. Jeff Atwater (R) 57.3%, |
Tom Stearns (I) 2.1%, |
| accountant Ken Mazzie (I) 1.6%, |
Agriculture Commissioner, 57.0% in '06, Charles H. "Charlie" Bronson (R) barred from 3rd term, next election in 2010
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, |
| ex-Mayor Scott Maddox (D) 38.1%, |
U.S. Rep. Adam H. Putnam (R) 55.9%, |
Ira Chester (Tea) 3.9%, |
| Co. Water Commissioner Thaddeus "Thad" Hamilton (I) 2.0%, |
Senator, 49.4% in '04, Melquiades Rafael "Mel" Martinez (R) resigned during 1st term, George LeMieux (R) will not run in next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Hotline's Competitive Senate Race, Rasmussen Reports' Balance of Power: Solid Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Republican Favored, Ken Rubin: Republican Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Lean Republican, |
| U.S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D) 20.2%, |
ex-St. Rep. Marco Rubio (R) 48.9%, |
Gov. Charlie Crist (I) 29.7%, |
| salesman Alexander A. Snitker (L) 0.5%, |
| Sue Askeland (I) 0.3%, |
| Rick Tyler (I) 0.1%, |
| Bernie DeCastro (C) 0.1%, |
| Lewis J. Armstrong (I) 0.1%, |
| Bobby Bean (I) 0.1%, |
| Bruce Ray Riggs (I) 0.1%, |
| prof. Piotr Blass (WI) 0%, George Drake (WI) 0%, real estate developer Howard Knepper (WI) 0%, Carol Ann Joyce LaRosa (WI) 0%, Deborah Liatos (SW/WI) 0%, Richard Lock (WI) 0%, Robert Monroe (WI) 0%, Belinda G. Quarterman-Noah (WI) 0%, |
Senator, 60.3% in '06, 2nd term, Next election in 2012,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, |
| Bill Nelson (D), |
ex-U.S. Sen. George LeMieux (R)?, St. Sen. Pres. Mike Haridopolos (R)?, U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan (R)?, U.S. Rep. Connie Mack (R)?, U.S. Rep. Tom Rooney (R)?, |
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1st Congressional District, 70.2% in '08, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| retired paratrooper James "Jim" Bryan (D/WI) 0.5%, |
Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller (R) 80.0%, |
Joe Cantrell (I) 10.9%, |
| pastor John E. Krause (I) 8.6%, |
2nd Congressional District, 61.9% in '08, 7th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: one of the most likely seats to switch parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Toss-up, |
| F. Allen Boyd Jr (D) 41.3%, |
funeral home director Steve Southerland (R) 53.6%, |
Whig Party nominee Paul Crandall McKain (I) 2.8%, |
| activist Dianne Berryhill (I) 2.2%, |
| Ray Netherwood (WI) 0.01%, |
3rd Congressional District, unopposed in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, |
| Corrine Brown (D) 63.0%, |
businessman Mike Yost (R) 33.9%, |
general contractor Terry Martin-Back (I) 3.1%, |
4th Congressional District, 65.3% in '08, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| No Democrat |
Ander Crenshaw (R) 77.2%, |
retired chief Petty Officer Troy D. Stanley (I) 22.8%, |
| author Gary L. Koniz (WI) 0%, Deborah "Deb" Katz Pueschel (WI) 0%, |
5th Congressional District, 61.2% in '08, Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite (R) retiring after 4th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| businessman James J. "Jim" Piccillo (D) 32.6%, |
Sheriff Richard B. "Rich" Nugent (R) 67.4%, |
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6th Congressional District, 60.9% in '08, 11th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| No Democrat |
Clifford B. "Cliff" Stearns (R) 71.5%, |
Steve Schonberg (I) 28.5%, |
7th Congressional District, 62.0% in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| non-profit CEO / Navy vet. Heather M. Beaven (D) 31.0%, |
John L. Mica (R) 69.0%, |
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8th Congressional District, 52.0% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: one of the most likely seats to switch parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Tossup, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Hotline's Competitive House Race, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Lean Republican, |
| Alan Grayson (D) 38.2%, |
ex-St. Sen. Dan Webster (R) 56.1%, |
consultant Peg Dunmire (Tea) 3.8%, |
| George L. Metcalfe (I) 1.9%, |
| electronics assembler Steve J. Gerritzen (Whig/WI) 0%, |
9th Congressional District, 62.2% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| '08 candidate / ex-LULAC Florida State Director Anita de Palma (D) 28.6%, |
Gus M. Bilirakis (R) 71.4%, |
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10th Congressional District, 60.7% in '08, 20th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Republican, |
| St. Sen. Charlie Justice (D) 34.1%, |
C.W. "Bill" Young (R) 65.9%, |
Martin "The Mechanic" Rokicki (WI) 0%, |
11th Congressional District, 71.7% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, |
| Katherine Anne "Kathy" Castor (D) 59.6%, |
ex-Army officer Mike Prendergrast (R) 40.4%, |
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12th Congressional District, 57.5% in '08, 5th term, Adam Hughes Putnam (R) running for Agriculture Commissioner, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Republican, |
| ex-St. Rep. Lori Edwards (D) 41.1%, |
ex-St. Rep. Dennis A. Ross (R) 48.1%, |
Co. Comm'r. Randy Wilkinson (Tea) 10.7%, |
13th Congressional District, 55.5% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican, |
| ex-city councilman / pastor James T. Golden (D) 31.1%, |
Vern Buchanan (R) 68.9%, |
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14th Congressional District, 59.4% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| James L. Roach (D) 27.1%, |
Connie Mack, IV (R) 68.6%, |
William Maverick St. Claire (I) 4.3%, |
15th Congressional District, 53.1% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican, |
| City Council member Shannon Roberts (D) 35.3%, |
William "Bill" Posey (R) 64.7%, |
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16th Congressional District, 60.1% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican, |
| businessman Jim Horn (D) 33.1%, |
Thomas J. "Tom" Rooney (R) 66.9%, |
William Dean (WI) 0.1%, |
17th Congressional District, unopposed in '08, 4th term, Kendrick B. Meek (D) running for U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, |
| St. Sen. Frederica S. Wilson (D) 86.2%, |
No Republican |
attorney Roderick D. Vereen (I) 13.8%, |
18th Congressional District, 57.9% in '08, 11th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, |
| realtor Rolando A. Banciella (D) 31.1%, |
Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) 68.9%, |
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19th Congressional District, 62.1% in '10 Special Election, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, |
| Ted Deutch (D) 62.6%, |
'10 special election candidate / financial planner Joe Budd (R) 37.3%, |
ret. USAF Capt. Stan Smilan (WI) 0.1%, |
20th Congressional District, 77.2% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, |
| Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 60.1%, |
restaurateur Karen Harrington (R) 38.1%, |
Stanley Blumenthal (I) 1.0%, |
"Independent Democrats" Party chair / '02 Gov. candidate Robert P. "Bob the Mouth" Kunst (I) 0.8%, |
| Clayton Schock (Whig/WI) 0%, |
21st Congressional District, 57.9% in '08, Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) retiring after 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Worth Watching, |
| No Democrat |
U.S. Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R) 100%, |
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22nd Congressional District, 54.6% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Democratic, |
| Ron Klein (D) 45.7%, |
'08 nominee / retired Lt. Col. Allen B. West (R) 54.3%, |
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23rd Congressional District, 82.1% in '08, 9th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, |
| Alcee L. Hastings (D) 79.1%, |
realtor Bernard Sansaricq (R) 20.9%, |
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24th Congressional District, 57.2% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: one of the most likely seats to switch parties, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Republican Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Toss-up, |
| Suzanne M. Kosmas (D) 40.3%, |
St. Rep. Sondra "Sandy" Adams (R) 59.7%, |
author Nicholas Ruiz, III (G/WI) 0%, |
25th Congressional District, 53.1% in '08, 4th term, Mario Diaz-Balart (R) running in the 21st District, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, First Read’s Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Republican, |
| '08 nominee / ex-Cuban American National Foundation dir. Jose Antonio "Joe" Garcia (D) 42.6%, |
St. Rep. David Rivera (R) 52.1%, |
Roly Arrojo (Tea) 3%, |
| Craig Porter (Whig) 2.3%, |
1. Link to Predictions:
2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
| = Democrat retain control, |
= Democrats take over control, |
| = Republican retain control, |
= Republicans take over control, |
 = Independent / 3rd Party retains control, |
 = Independent / 3rd Party take over control |
| Bold indicates incumbent. |
Yellow district indicates open races. |
| Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. |
Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control. |
| Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. |
Red boxes indicates Republicans took control. |
3. Key to Florida Political Parties:
4. Florida Media Links:
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