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Kentucky State Board of Elections
2010 Kentucky Congressional Races
Filing Deadline: 1/26/10, Primary: 5/18/10, Independent Filing Deadline: 8/10/10, Write-In Filing Deadline: 10/22/10, General Election: 11/2/10,
Last Updated: November 20, 2010
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,
Governor, 58.7% in '07, 1st term, next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat,
Steven L. "Steve" Beshear (D),
'03 & '07 candidate / demolition contractor Otis "Bullman" Hensley Jr. (D),
banker Jesse T. "Jess" Correll (R)?, banker Mike Duncan (R)?, St. Rep. Bill Farmer (R), '07 candidate / businessman Bill Harper (R)?, Jefferson Co. Clerk Bobbie Holsclaw (R)?, '10 Senate candidate procurement manager Bill Johnson (R)?, businessman Phil Moffett (R), Shelby County Judge-Executive Rob Rothenburger (R)?, St. Sen. Damon Thayer (R)?, St. Sen. Pres. David L. Williams (R), '99 Gov. nominee / '03 Att. Gen. candidate Gatewood Galbraith (I),
consultant Dea Riley (I),
Lt. Governor, Tied with Gov., 1st term, 58.7% in 2007, ran for U.S. Senate, Next election in 2011, Daniel Mongiardo (D) ran for U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat,
Louisville Mayor Jerry Abramson (D), St. Rep. Mike Harmon (R), St. Rep. Adam Koenig (R), Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer (R), ex-Amb. Cathy Bailey (R)?, St. Sen. Damon Thayer (R)?, consultant Dea Riley (I),
Secretary of State, C. Merwin "Trey" Grayson, III (R) barred from 3rd term, 57.0% in 2007, Next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Attorney General, 1st term, 60.5% in 2007, ran for U.S. Senate, Next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Jack Conway†(D), Secretary of State C. Merwin "Trey" Grayson, III (R),
Treasurer, 1st term, 57.5% in 2007, Next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
L.J. "Todd" Hollenbach, IV (D),
Auditor, 2nd term, 59.2% in 2007, Next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Eugenia Crittenden Blackburn "Crit" Luallen (D),
Agriculture Commissioner, 2nd term, 64.0% in 2007, Next election in 2011, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Richie Farmer (R),
Senator, 50.7% in '04, 2ndterm, Jim Bunning (R) retiring, Next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Chris Cillizza: One of the Most Likely Senate Seats to Switch Party, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Hotline's Competitive Senate Race, Rasmussen Reports' Balance of Power: Solid Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Ken Rubin: Tossup, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, The Hill's Race Ratings: Toss-up,
Att. Gen. Jack Conway (D) 44.2%, Dr. Rand Paul (R) 55.7%, '02 & '04 congressional candidate / retired USAF sergeant Billy Ray Wilson (WI) 0.1%,
Senator, 53.0% in '08, 5th term, next election in 2014, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
A. Mitchell "Mitch" McConnell (R),
1st Congressional District, 64.4% in '08, 8th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,
'08 candidate Charles Kendall Hatchett (D) 28.8%, Edward "Ed" Whitfield (R) 71.2%,
2nd Congressional District, 52.6% in '08, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican,
party activist / real estate agent Ed Marksberry (D) 32.1%, S. Brett Guthrie (R) 67.9%,
3rd Congressional District, 59.4% in '08, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Likely Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic, The Hill's Race Ratings: Worth Watching,
John Yarmuth (D) 54.7%, pilot Todd Lally (R) 44.0%, Edward A. Martin (L) 0.8%,
Michael D. Hansen (I) 0.5%,
4th Congressional District, 63.0% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,
veteran John Waltz (D) 30.5%, Geoffrey C. Davis (R) 69.5%,
5th Congressional District, 84.1% in '08, 15th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican,
'08 candidate / veteran James E. "Jim" Holbert (D) 22.6%, Harold "Hal" Rogers (R) 77.4%,
6th Congressional District, 64.7% in '08, 3rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Lean Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic, First Readís Field of 64, The Hill's Race Ratings: Likely Democratic,
A.B. "Ben" Chandler III (D) 50.1%, attorney Garland "Andy" Barr (R) 49.8%, C. Wes Collins (WI) 0.1%, Randolph S. Vance (WI) 0.01%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Kentucky Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SIP) = Southern Independent Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Kentucky Media Links:
Bowling Green Daily News
Central Kentucky News-Journal
Corbin Times-Tribune
Danville Advocate Messenger
Elizabethtown News Enterprise
Frankfort State Journal
Henderson Gleaner
Jefferson Review
Kentucky Educational Television
Kentucky Post
Kentucky Standard
Lexington Herald-Leader
Louisville Courier-Journal
Maysville Ledger-Independent
Owensboro Messenger-Inquirer
Paducah Sun
Princeton Times Leader
Winchester Sun
WHAS TV-11
WKYT TV-27
WLEX TV-18
WLKY TV-32


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