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Oregon Secretary of State - Elections Division

2008 Oregon Congressional and Statewide Races
Primary Filing Deadline: 3/11/08, Primary: 5/20/08, Independent / Minor Party Filing Deadline: 8/26/08, General Election 11/4/08,
Last Updated: April 3, 2008

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, State Media,
President, 51.3% in '04 for Kerry, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
U.S. Sen. Hillary R. Clinton (D-NY), U.S. Sen. Barack H. Obama (D-IL), U.S. Sen. John S. McCain, III (R-AZ), U.S. Rep. Ronald E. "Ron" Paul (R-TX), Libertarian nominee
Green Party nominee
'04 VP nominee / Minister Chuck Baldwin (C-FL),
Governor, 50.8% in '06, 2nd term, next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Theodore R. "Ted" Kulongoski (D),
Attorney General, Hardy Myers (D) barred from re-election, 54.8% in '04, next election in 2008
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic
law prof. John R. Kroger (D), St. Rep. Greg MacPherson (D), No Republican
Secretary of State 57.2% in '04, Bill Bradbury (D) barred from 3rd term, next election in 2008,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
St. Sen. Brad Avakian (D), St. Sen. Kate Brown (D), St. Sen. Rick Metsger (D), St. Sen. Vicki L. Walker (D), design engineer Paul Damian Wells (D), Rick Dancer (R),
Treasurer, 52.9% in '04, Randall Edwards (D) barred from 3rd term, next election in 2008
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
St. Sen. Ben Westlund (D),  businessman Allen Alley (R),
Labor Commissioner (non-partisan), unopposed in 2006, Next election in 2010
Dan Gardner (D),
Education Superintendent (non-partisan), 62.21% in 2006, Next election in 2010
Susan Castillo (D),
Senator, 56.2% in '02, 2nd term, next election in 2008, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 7th Most Likely Seats to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, National Journal's Rankings: 7th Most Likely to Switch Parties, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Advantage Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,
fitness instructor Pavel Goberman (D), consultant David Loera (D), attorney Steve Novick (D), St. Rep. Jeff Merkley (D), ex-minister / realtor Candy Neville (D), custodian Roger S. Obrist (D), Gordon H. Smith (R),
'06 Gov. candidate / ophthalmologist Gordon Leitch (R),
ex-NEA chair John Frohnmayer (Ind),
'06 gov. nominee / ex-talk show host Mary Starrett (C)?, '06 congressional candidate David Brownlow (C),
Senator, 63.4% in '04, 3rd term, Next election in 2010, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Unrated,
Ron Wyden (D),
1st Congressional District, 62.8% in '06, 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
David Wu (D),
electronics engineer Will Hobbs (D), operations manager Mark Welyczko (D),
pathologist assistant C. William Chappell, IV (R), businessman Joel Haugen (R), Entreprenuer Stephan A. Brodhead (R/WI),
2nd Congressional District, 66.8% in '06 5th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican,
entreprenuer Noah Lemas (D), Home care specialist Sabrina I. Shrake (D), Greg Walden (R), naturopathic physician Tristin Mock (Pac),
3rd Congressional District, 73.5% in '06, 7th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Earl Blumenauer (D),
cable tv host John Sweeney (D), retiree Joseph Walsh (D),
real estate investor Delia Lopez (R), John Olmsted (Pac),
4th Congressional District, 62.3% in '06, 11th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic,
Peter A. "Pete" DeFazio (D), No Republican Michael Beilstein (Pac),
Jaynee Germond (C),
5th Congressional District, 54.0% in '06, Darlene Hooley (D) retiring after 6th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Pure Toss-Up, NRCC Target,
small businessman Andrew Foster (D), ex-Gov. aide Steve Marks (D), retiree Nancy Moran (D), retiree Richard W. Nathe (D), St. Sen. Kurt Schrader (D), '06 nominee / businessman Mike Erickson (R), '06 Gov. candidate / '02 Gov. nominee / '00 Att. Gen. nominee / ex-St. Rep. Kevin L. Mannix (R), dance instructor Richard "RJ" Wilson (R), Alex Polikoff (Pac),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
National Journal's Rankings,
Roll Call's Outlook,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Oregon Political Parties:
(AR) = American Reform Party
(Com) = Communist Party
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Ind) = Independent Party
(Labor) = Labor Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Pac) = Pacific Green Party
- Affiliated with the Green Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WF) = Working Families Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates

4. Oregon Media Links:
Ashland Daily Tidings
Bend Bulletin
Corvallis Gazette-Times
Curry Coastal Pilot
Curry County Reporter
Daily Astorian
East Oregonian
Eugene Register-Guard
Eugene Weekly
Gresham Outlook
Hermiston Herald
KATU TV-2
KOTI TV-2
KGW TV-8
Klamath Falls Herald & News
KMTR TV-16
KOIN TV-6
KVAL TV
Lebanon Express
Lincoln City News-Guard
Medford Mail Tribune
McMinnville News-Register
Newport Times-News
Portland Business Journal
Portland Oregonian
Portland Skanner
Roseburg News-Review
Salem Stateman Journal
Seaside Signal
Sisters Nugget
South Coast World
Springfield News
Tillamook Headlight-Herald
Wallowa County Chieftain
Willamette Weekly
Woodburn Independent


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