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Kentucky State Board of Elections
1998 Kentucky Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: January 27, Primary: May 26,
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Senator, 62.9% in '92, Wendell H. Ford, (D) retiring after 4th term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Toss Up, Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Repubican favored 9:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Republican
U.S. Rep. Scotty Baesler (D) 49.2% U.S. Rep. Jim Bunning (R) 49.7% Charles R. Arbegust (Rfm) 1.1%
1st Cong. District, 53.6% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican
ex-U.S. Rep. Thomas J. Barlow III (D) 44.8% Ed Whitfield (R) 55.2%
2nd Cong. District, 58.2% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:5, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
Bob Evans (D) 35.3% Ron Lewis (R) 63.7% retired scientist Jim Ketchel (Rfm) 1.0%
3rd Cong. District, 50.3% in '96, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 7:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Republican,
ex-St. Att. Gen. Chris Gorman (D) 47.5% Anne Meagher Northup (R) 51.5% '96 Senate nominee Patricia Jo Metten (NL) 1.0%
4th Cong. District, 68.3% in '96, Jim Bunning (R) running for Senate after 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:1, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Boone Co. Judge-Exec. Ken Lucas (D) 53.4% St. Sen. Gex "Jay" Williams 46.6%
5th Cong. District, unopposed in '96, 9th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
Sidney Jane Bailey-Bamer (D) 21.5% Harold "Hal" Rogers (R) 78.5% Ralph Caldwell (WI) 0.0%
6th Cong. District, 55.7% in '96, Scotty Baesler (D) running for Senate after 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: 1:1, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
St. Sen. Ernesto Scorsone (D) 46% ex-St. Rep./'96 nominee Ernest "Ernie" Fletcher (R) 53.1% professor Wasley S. Krogdahl (T) 0.9%

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(T) = U.S. Taxpayers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.