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Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth - Elections Division
1998 Massachusetts Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: June 2, Primary: September 15
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Governor, 71% in '94, William Weld (R) resigned to seek Ambassadorship
Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 12:11, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 50% Republican
Att. Gen. Scott Harshbarger (D) 47% Lt. Gov. Argeo Paul Cellucci (R) 51% '94 nominee Dean Cook (L) 2%
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov. Vacant, Cellucci (R) took over Gov.,
St. Sen. Warren Tolman (D) ex-state Sen. Jane Maria Swift (R) State Party Executive Director Eli Israel (L)
Attorney General, Scott Harshbarger (D) running for Gov.,
Middlesex Co. DA Tom Reilly (D) ex-Middlesex Co. Sheriff Brad Bailey (R)
Secretary of Commonwealth
William F. Galvin (D) GOP state committeeman Dale C. Jenkins Jr. (R) Provincetown Selectman & '90 Vermont Governor Nominee David Atkinson (L), Norm Paley (Rfm)?,
Treasurer, Joe Malone (R) running for Gov.
Ex-St. Sen. / '94 nominee Shannon P. O'Brien (D) B-man Robert Maginn (R) Merton Baker (L)
Auditor
A. Joseph DeNucci (D) Ex-State Consumer Affairs Director Michael T. Duffy (R) state party chair Carla Howell (L)
1st Cong. District, 52.7% in '96, 4th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 64% Democrat
John W. Olver (D) 71.7% veteran Gregory L. Morgan (R) 28.3% write in candidates 0.0%
2nd Cong. District, 71.7% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 100% Democrat
Richard E. Neal (D) 99.0 No Republican write in candidates 1.0%
3rd Cong. District, 53.1% in '96, 1st term
Charles Cook's prediction: Likely Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 2:3, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 64% Democrat
James Patrick McGovern (D) 56.9% St. Sen. Matthew J. Amorello (R) 41.5% physics professor / '96 U.S. Senate nominee George Phillies (L) 1.5%, write in candidates 0.1%
4th Cong. District, 71.6% in '96, 9th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 100% Democrat
Barney Frank (D) 98.4% No Republican write in candidates 1.6%
5th Cong. District, unopposed in '96, 3rd Term, might retire in '00
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:25, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 90% Democrat
Martin T. Meehan (D) 70.7% David E. Coleman (R) 29.3% Rene Nadeau (L) 0.0%
6th Cong. District, 48.3% in '96, 1st term, won by 371 votes
Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 8:9, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 63% Democrat
John F. Tierney (D) 54.6% ex-U.S. Rep. Peter G. Torkildsen (R) 42.4% attorney Randal Fritz (I) 3.0%, write in candidates 0.0%
7th Cong. District, 69.8% in '96, 11th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 90% Democrat
Edward J. Markey (D) 70.6% legal negotiator/ '96 nominee Patricia H. Long (R) 29.3% write in candidates 0.1%
8th Cong. District, 84.3% in '96, Joseph P. Kennedy II (D) retiring after 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 90% Democrat
Somerville Mayor Michael E. Capuono (D) 81.7% '96 nominee / consultant R. Philip Hyde III (R) 11.6% ex-railroad worker Andrea Morell (SW) 4.0%, ex-radio talk show host Anthony A. "Tony" Schinella (I) 2.6%, write in candidates 0.1%
9th Cong. District, 72.4% in '96, 13th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 100% Democrat
Joseph P. Moakley (D) 99.4% No Republican write in candidates 0.6%
10th Cong. District, 54.5% in '96, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's Prediction: 77% Democrat
William D. Delahunt (D) 70.0% home renovation contractor Eric V. Bleicken (R) 29.9% write in candidates 0.1%

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.