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North Carolina State Board of Elections
1998 North Carolina Congressional and Statewide Primary Results
Filing Deadline: February 2, New Filing Deadline: July 20, Senate Primary: May 5, House Primaries: September 15,
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Senator, 50% in '92, 1st term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Toss Up, Charles Cook's prediction: Leans Republican, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 5:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Republican
Attorney John R. Edwards (D), UNC VP/lobbyist/ex-House cand. D.G. Martin (D), Charlotte City Council member Ella Scarborough (D), Robert Junior "Bob" Ayers (D), James Everette Carmack (D), businessman Eugene "Gene" Gay (D), Mike Robinson (D), D.M. "Lauch" Faircloth (R), Steve Franks (R), Leonard D Plyler (R), homeschooler / '96 congressional nominee Barbara Howe (L),
1st Cong. District, 65.7% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Eva Clayton (D), St. Rep. Linwood Mercer (D), ex-mayor / '96 nominee Ted Tyler (R), Jerome Power (R), Duane Kratzer (R), ex-prof. Jack Schwartz (L),
2nd Cong. District, 52.6% in '96, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 2:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Bobby Etheridge (D), St. Sen. Dan Page (R), Richard Skillen (R), '96 nominee Mark D. Jackson (L),
3rd Cong. District, 63.0% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:7, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
Attorney Jon Williams (D), Sheppard Neal Moore (D), Walter B. Jones Jr. (R), Chris Nubel (L),
4th Cong. District, 54.4% in '96, 1st/ 5th term
Charles Cook's prediction: Lean Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 2:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
David E. Price (D), '96 Senate candidate Ralph M. McKinney, Jr. (D), Co. GOP chair Tom Roberg (R), '96 nominee W. G. Gary Goodson (L),
5th Cong. District, 62.1% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
management consultant Mike Robinson (D), Richard M. Burr (R), Technician Gene Paczelt (L),
6th Cong. District, 73.4% in '96, 7th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat Howard Coble (R), chemist Jeffrey Bentley (L),
7th Cong. District, 52.9% in '96, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Mike McIntyre (D), Randy Crow (D), No Republican Paul Meadows (L),
8th Cong. District, 54.9% in '96, W.G. "Bill" Hefner (D) retiring after 12th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 5:4, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican
ex-Co. Dem Chair Mike Taylor (D), '96 Gov. nominee/St. Sen. Robert C. "Robin" Hayes (R), state party treasurer Bob Burns (L),
9th Cong. District, 62.7% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
pharmacist / '92 / '94 nominee Rory Blake (D), Jordan Bonner (D), Sue Myrick (R), mortgage broker Alvin Jeffrey Taylor (L),
10th Cong. District, 69.9% in '96, 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat T. Cass Ballenger (R), Deborah Garrett Eddins, RN (L),
11th Cong. District, 58.3% in '96, 4th Term, Taylor had minor stroke 8/5/97
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
Buncombe County Commissioner David Young (D), Charles H. Taylor (R), engineer Chris Heckert (L),
12th Cong. District, 71.5% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 2:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Melvin Watt (D), Freightliner Corp. employee Ronnie Adcock (D), John "Scott" Keadle (R) D.D.S., John J. Kozlowski, Jr. (R), St. Rep. Steve Wood (R), Charlotte City Councilmember Mike Jackson (R), Mecklenberg County Commission Chair Tom Bush (R), Jim Cohen (R)?, Michael G. Smith (L),

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.