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New York State Board of Elections
1998 New York Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: July 16, Primary: September 15,
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Governor 49% in '94, 1st term
Charles Cook's prediction: Lean Republican, Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican
NYC Council Speaker Peter F. Vallone (D, WF) 33% George E. Pataki (R, Cns) 54% ex-GOP/ex-Democratic candidate Lt. Gov. Betsy McCaughey Ross (Lib) 2%, '94 nominee Tom Golisano (Ind/Rfm) 8%, Al "Grandpa Munster" Lewis (G) 1%, ex-city planner Pete Maniscalco (GC)? 0%, real estate exec. Michael "Mike" J. Reynolds (RtL) 1%, attorney Chris Garvey (L) 0%, Thomas K. Leighton (M) 1%, Al Duncan (SW) 0%, Ada Rabasa (TL)? 0%, Mary Alice France (Unity) 0%,
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., Betsy McCaughey Ross (R) dropped from ticket and running for Gov.
town supervisor Sandra Frankel (D, WF) st. Sup. Ct. Justice Mary O. Donohue (R, Cns) accountant Laureen Oliver (Ind/Rfm) Jonathan C. Reiter (Lib), high school principal Karen I. Swallow Prior (RtL), Dr. Alice Green (G), Susan Satya (GC)?, Donald Silberger, Ph.D. (L), Jeffrey C. Wright (M), Ruth Robinett (SW), Mark Dane (TL)?,
Attorney General,
ex-Manhattan DA Eliot Spitzer (D, Lib) Dennis C. Vacco (R, Cns) ex-Democratic candidate / St. Sen. Catherine Abate (WF, Ind/Rfm), ex-Ass't DA Robert W. Dapelo (RtL), Johann Moore (G), attorney Dan Conti (L), Simon J. Goldfeder (M)?, Jonathan Lee Winter (TL)?, garment worker Wendy Lyons (SW/WI)
Comptroller
H. Carl McCall (D, Lib, Ind/Rfm, WF) Nassau Co. Legislature Bruce A. Blakeman (R, Cns) retired businessman Douglas H. Harknett (RtL), Roger Snyder (GC)?, Howie Hawkins (G), Robert Goodman, Ph.D. (L), Dean Venezia (M), Steve MacIntyre (TL)?, Ryan Kelly (SW/WI)
Senator, 49% in '92, 3rd term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Toss Up, Charles Cook's prediction: Leans Republican, Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: 1:1, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
U.S. Rep. Charles E. Schumer (D 51.1%, Ind/Rfm 2.3%, Lib 1.2%) 54.6% Alfonse M. D'Amato (R 36.0%, Cns 5.9%, RtL 2.2%) 44.1% Corinne E. Kurtz (M) 0.7%, prof/physician Joe Kovel (G) 0.3%. '88 nominee William P. "Bill" McMillen (L) 0.2%, union activist Rose Ana Berbeo (SW) 0.1%, Lorna Salzman (GC/WI) 0.0%, Taffy Benjamin (TL) 0.0%, software engineer Lawrence Beck (WI) 0.0%,
1st Cong. District, 55% in '96, 2nd Term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
Suffolk co. legislator William G. "Bill" Holst (D 35.1%, STC 0.8%) 35.9% Michael P. Forbes (R 48.8%, Cns 8.4%, RtL 4.9%, Ind/Rfm 2.0%,) 64.1% Audrey Pappaleiou (L) 0.0%
2nd Cong. District, 63.9% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
handicapped services division director John C. Bace (D) 29.5% Rick A. Lazio (R 55.8%, Cns 10.4%) 66.2% Kenneth J. Herman (Ind/Rfm) 1.4%, Denis K. Quinn (RtL) 2.8%, Francis C. "Frank" Gelsomine (L) 0.0%,
3rd Cong. District, 55.6% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
Kevin N. Langberg (D) 34.9% Peter T. King (R 52.5%, Cns 7.6%, RtL 4.2%) 64.3% Thomas R. DiLavore (Lib) 0.8%
4th Cong. District, 57.2% in '96, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Carolyn McCarthy (D 50.5%, Ind/Rfm 2.1%) 52.6% AM Gregory R. Becker (R 37.6%, RtL 3.7%, Cns 5.3%) 46.6% publications company president Patricia M. Maher (Lib) 0.8%
5th Cong. District, 63.4% in '96, 8th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Gary L. Ackerman (D 61.5%, Ind/Rfm 1.8%, Lib 1.6%) 65.0% David C. Pinzon (R 27.3%, Cns 5.8%) 33.1% Anne T. Robinson (RtL) 1.9%
6th Cong. District, 57% in '97 Special Election, Floyd H. Flake (D) resigning 10/1/97 after 6th term, 85% in '96, Meeks elected on 2/4/98.
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
St. AM Gregory W. Meeks (D 96.2%, Lib 1.6%, Ind/Rfm 2.2%) 100% No Republican
7th Cong. District, Thomas J. Manton (D) retiring after 7th term, 70.6% in '96,
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
AM Joseph Crowley (D) 69.0% corporate security manager James J. "Jim" Dillon (R) 25.6% Richard Retcho (Cns) 5.4%
8th Cong. District, 81.8% in '96, 4th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Jerrold L. Nadler (D 82.5%, Lib 3.5%) 86.0% insurance consultant Theodore Howard (R) 14.0%
9th Cong. District, 74.0% in '96, Charles E. Schumer (D) running for Senate after 9th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Democrat
City councilman Anthony Weiner (D 64.4%, Ind/Rfm 2.1%) 66.4% security company head Lou Telano (R) 23.4% Arthur J. Smith (Cns) 4.7%, St. assemblywoman Melinda R. Katz (Lib) 5.4%
10th Cong. District, 90.7% in '96, 8th term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:25, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Edolphus Towns (D 89.9%, Lib 2.4%) 92.3% Ernestine M. Brown (R) 6.2% Ernest Johnson (Cns) 1.5%
11th Cong. District, 91.5% in '96, 8th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:25, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Major R. Owens (D 87.5%, Lib 2.5%) 90.0% David Greene (R 6.8%, Cns 1.9%) 8.7% Phyllis Taliaferro (Ind/Rfm) 1.4%
12th Cong. District, 84.0% in '96, 3rd term, district declared unconstitutional
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:20, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Nydia M. Velazquez (D) 83.6% real estate broker/ trucker Rosemarie Markgraf (R) 11.6% Angel Diaz (Cns) 2.6%, Hector Cortes Jr. (Lib) 1.7%, Hector Henry (Fusion) 0.5%
13th Cong. District, 62% in '97 Special Election, 1st term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
Eugene V. "Gene" Prisco (D 33.3%, Lib 0.8%,) 34.2% Vito J. Fossella (R 51.5%, Cns 10.0%, RtL 3.3%) 64.8% '96 nominee Anita Lerman (Ind/Rfm) 1.0%
14th Cong. District, 72.4% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Carolyn B. Maloney (D 72.7%, Lib 2.7%, Ind/Rfm 2.0%) 77.4% attorney Stephanie E. Kupferman (R) 22.6%
15th Cong. District, 90.9% in '96, 14th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:25, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Charles B. Rangel (D 90.9%, Lib 2.2%) 93.1% David E. Cunningham (R) 5.8% Patrick McManus (Cns) 1.1%
16th Cong. District, 96.4% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:25, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
José E. Serrano (D 93.4, Lib 2.0%) 95.4% retired postal worker Thomas C. Bayley Jr. (R) 3.5% telephone linesman / '96 nominee Owen Camp (Cns) 1.1%
17th Cong. District, 84.7% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:20, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Eliot L. Engel (D 86.2%, Lib 1.8%) 88.0% immigration consultant Peter Fiumefreddo (R 8.7%, Ind/Rfm 0.8%, Cns 2.5%) 12.0%
18th Cong. District, 63.3% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Nita M. Lowey (D) 82.8% No Republican Daniel Mc Mahon (Cns) 11.4%, Giulio A. Cavallo (Ind/Rfm) 2.9%, Marion M. Conner (RtL) 2.9%
19th Cong. District, 46.2% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican
prison employee Dick Collins (D) 33.6% Sue W. Kelly (R 52.6%, Cns 9.6%) 62.2% ex-U.S. Rep. Joseph J. DioGuardi (RtL) 3.5%, Charles C. Williams (F) 0.6%
20th Cong. District, 56.9% in '96, 13th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:7, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
Greenburgh Supervisor Paul J. Feiner (D 36.5%, Ind/Rfm 1.2%, Lib 1.1%) 38.8% Benjamin A. Gilman (R) 58.3% Christine M. Tighe (RtL) 2.8%
21st Cong. District, 66.3% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Michael R. McNulty (D 62.6%, Cns 7.9%, Ind/Rfm 3.7%) 74.2% psychologist Lauren Ayers Roberts (R) 25.8%
22nd Cong. District, Gerald Solomon (R) retiring after 10th term, 61.2% in '96,
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican,
Red Hook Town councilor Jean Parvin Bordewich (D) 42.1% ex-st. Labor com'r John E. Sweeney (R 45.4%, Cns 7.9%, Ind/Rfm 2.0%) 55.3% real estate developer Francis Albert Giroux (RtL) 2.6%
23rd Cong. District, 64.2% in '96, 8th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
No Democrat Sherwood L. Boehlert (R) 80.8% David Vickers (Cns 15.6%, RtL 3.6%) 19.2%
24th Cong. District, 71.2% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
parole officer Neil P. Tallon (D) 21.0% John M. McHugh (R 68.9%, Cns 10.1%) 79.0%
25th Cong. District, 55.3% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
ex-School Library Director Yvonne Rothenberg (D 28.8%, G/Lib 1.8%) 30.6% James T. Walsh (R 58.5%, Cns 10.9%) 69.4%
26th Cong. District, 54.9% in '96, 3rd term
Charles Cook's prediction: Lean Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Maurice D. Hinchey (D 56.7%, Ind/Rfm 3.6%, Lib 1.5%) 61.8% radio station owner William H. "Bud" Walker (R 26.9, Cns 4.4%) 31.3% Operation Rescue founder Randall Terry (RtL, T) 6.9%, organic farmer Mark Dunau (Rural/WI) 0.0%
27th Cong. District, 60.0% in '96, Bill Paxon (R) retiring after 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 65% Republican
Prof. Bill Cook (D 35.2%, RtL 2.8, Ind/Rfm 4.6%) 42.7% State Assembly Minority Leader Thomas M. Reynolds (R 48.3%, Cns 9.0%) 57.3%
28th Cong. District, 57.0% in '96, 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Democrat
Louise M. Slaughter (D) 64.8% businessman Richard A. "Dick" Kaplan (R 27.8%, Ind/Rfm 3.0%) 30.8% Paul Britton (Cns) 2.7%, pro-life activist Gerald D. "Jerry" Crawford (RtL, T) 1.7%
29th Cong. District, 61.9% in '96, 12th term, might retire
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
John J. LaFalce (D 51.5%, Ind/Rfm 4.0%, Lib 1.6%) 57.1% businessman Chris Collins (R 34.1%, Cns 6.6%) 40.7% orthopedic surgeon David E. Denzel (RtL) 2.2%
30th Cong. District, 54.9% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
AM Crystal D. Peoples (D) 32.2% Jack Quinn (R 53.3%, Cns 9.5%, Ind/Rfm 5.0%) 67.8%
31st Cong. District, 71.5% in '96, 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 3:8 D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
teacher / ex-school board member Caleb Rossiter (D) 25.3% Amory R. Houghton, Jr. (R 60.4%, Cns 7.6%) 68.0% minister James R. "Jim" Pierce Sr (T, RtL) 6.7%

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(Cns) = Conservative Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(F) = Freedom Party - Affiliated with Republican Party
(Fusion) = Fusion Party
(G) = Green Party
(GC) = Green Choice Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Ind) = Independence Party - Affiliated with the Reform Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Lib) = Liberal Party
(M) = Marijuana Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party - Affiliated with the New York Independence Party
(RtL) = Right to Life Party - Affiliated with U.S. Taxpayers Party
(Rural) = Rural Party
(STC) = Star Tax Cut Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(T) = U.S. Taxpayers Party
(TL) = Term Limits Party
(Unity) = Unity Party
(WF) = Working Families Party - Affiliated with the New Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.