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Oregon Secretary of State - Elections Division

1998 Oregon Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: March 10, Primary: May 19,

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Governor, 53% in '94, 1st term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:4, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
John Kitzhaber (D) 63% anti-tax activist Bill Sizemore (R) 31% computer consultant Richard P. Burke (L) 2%, Blair Bobier (Pac) 2%, ex-prosecutor Roger Weidner (Rfm) 1%, Trey Smith (S) 1%, Jada Mae Langloss (I) 0%, Donald James Pfau (I) 0%, Patti Steurer (NL) 1%
Labor Commissioner
Jack Roberts (R) 60%, Mike Fahey (D) 40%
Education Superintendent, Norma Paulus (I) retiring
ex-St. Sen. Stan Bunn (R), Margaret L. Carter (D),
Senator, 48% in 1/30/96, 1st term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Safe Democrat, Charles Cook's prediction: Safe Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Democrat
Ron Wyden (D) 61.1% St. Sen. / millionaire John Lim (R) 33.8% advertising executive Jim Brewster (L) 1.6%, economic environmental analyst Karyn Moskowitz (Pac) 2.0%, Richard S Pope (I) 0.0%, Dean M Braa (S) 0.7%, Michael A. Campbell (NL) 0.7%,
1st Cong. District, Elizabeth Furse (D) retiring after 3rd term, 54.6% in '96
Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 5:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
attorney David Wu (D) 50.1% '96 primary cand./consultant Molly Bordonaro (R) 47.1% Michael DePaulo (L) 1.8%, John F. Hryciuk (S) 0.9%, miscellaneous 0.1%
2nd Cong. District, Bob Smith (R) retiring, 59.1% in '96, 1st / 7th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Republican
ex-Co. Com'r/Judge Kevin M. Campbell (D) 34.8% ex-St. Sen. Maj. Ldr. Greg Walden (R) 61.5% Lindsey Bradshaw (L) 2.2%, Rohn "Grandpa" Webb (S) 1.3%, ex-U.S. Rep. Wes Cooley (Rfm/WI) 0.2%
3rd Cong. District, 68.2% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Earl Blumenauer (D) 83.9% No Republican retail manager Bruce Alexander Knight (L) 9.2%, Walter F. "Walt" Brown (S) 5.6%, miscellaneous 1.2%
4th Cong. District, 68.6% in '96, 6th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Pete DeFazio (D) 70.1% Grocery store manager Steve J. Webb (R) 28.6% Karl G. Sorg (S) 1.2%, miscellaneous 0.1%
5th Cong. District, 51.6% in '96, 1st term
Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Darlene Hooley (D) 54.9% St. Sen. Marylin Shannon (R) 40.5% Property Manager / '95 US Senate Candidate Michael Donnelly (Pac) 1.6%, Kelly Keith (I) 0.0%, Blaine Thallheimer (L) 1.3%, Ed Dover (S) 0.6%, Jim Burns (NL) 1.0%, miscellaneous 0.1%

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Pac) = Pacific Party - Affiliated with the Green Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.