Texas Secretary of State - Elections Division

1998 Texas Congressional and Statewide Primary Results Filing Deadline: January 2, 1998, Primaries: March 10
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Governor, 54% in '94, 1st term Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
St. Land Comm'r Garry Mauro (D),	George W. Bush (R) 96.6%, R. C. Crawford (R) 3.4%,	taxi driver Lester R. "Les" Turlington, Jr. (L), Susan Lee Solar (G/WI),
Lt. Governor, Bob Bullock (D) retiring,
St. Comp. John Sharp (D)	St. Ag. Comm'r Rick Perry (R)	systems administrator Anthony Garcia (L),
Attorney General, Dan Morales (D) retiring,
ex-Att. Gen. Jim Mattox (D) 68%, Gene Kelly (D) 13.3%, Morris L. Everstreet (D) 18.7%,	St. S. Ct. Justice John Cornyn (R) 32.2%, Barry Williamson (R) 38.1%, Tom Pauken (R) 29.7%,	businessman Mike Angwin (L),
Comptroller, John Sharp (D) running for Lt. Gov.,
businessman / attorney Paul Hobby (D)	RR Comm'r Carole Keeton Rylander (R)	Alex Monchak (L),
Land Commissioner, Gary Mauro, (D) running for Gov. ,
St. Rep. Richard Raymond (D)	businessman David Dewhurst (R) 51.2, Don Loucks (R) 7.1%, Jerry Patterson (R) 41.8%,	teacher J. Manuel "Monte" Montez (L),
Agriculture Commissioner, Rick Perry (R) running for Lt. Gov.,
St. Rep. L. P. "Pete" Patterson (D) 59.7%, Ernesto L. DeLeon (D) 40.3%,	ex-St. Rep. Susan Combs (R) 75.0%, Hamp Hodges (R) 25.0%,	professor / rancher Jimmy T. LaBaume (L), organic farmer / freelance journalist Steven Reed Sprinkel (G/WI), Michael Yarbrough (WI),
Railroad Commissioner, Barry Williamson (R) running for Att. Gen., Railroad Commissioner, Carol Keeton Rylander (R) running for Comptroller,
attorney Joe B. Henderson (D) 63.1%, Gary Dugger (D) 36.9%,	attorney / ex-Secretary of State Tony Garza (R) 53.1%, ex-U.S. Rep. Steve Stockman (R) 46.9%,	aircraft salesman Jim Spurlock (L),
Railroad Commissioner, not up for election?
	Charles Matthews (R)
1st Cong. District, 51.6% in '96, 1stterm Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Max Sandlin (D),	real estate appraiser / '96 candidate Dennis Boerner (R),
2nd Cong. District, 52.2% in '96, 1stterm Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Jim Turner (D),	'96 nominee / ex-Mayor / dentist Brian Babin (R),	retiree Wendell Drye (L),
3rd Cong. District, 73.0% in '96, 4th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat	Sam Johnson (R),	retired teacher / engineer Ken Ashby (L),
4th Cong. District, 63.8% in '96, possible party switcher, 9th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Ralph M. Hall (D),	Dr. Jim Lohmeyer (R) 68.8%, Ray Hall (R) 22.4%, Douglas Jones (R) 5.2%, Geoffrey Fielding Walsh (R) 3.5%,	restaurant manager Jim Simon (L),
5th Cong. District, 53.1% in '96, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
'96 Senate nominee / teacher Victor M. Morales (D) 69.2%, William A. Foster, III (D) 30.8%,	Pete Sessions (R),	tabacconist Michael D Needleman (L),
6th Cong. District, 77.1% in '96, 7th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
b-man Ben B. Boothe (D),	Joe Barton (R) 72.9%, Greg Mullanax (R) 27.1%,	air line pilot Richard A. Bandlow (L),
7th Cong. District, 81.4% in '96, 14th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat	Bill Archer (R) 96.8%, Gene Hsiao (R) 3.2%,	research designer Drew Parks (L), John Richard Skone-Palmer (WI),
8th Cong. District, 1st Term, 59% in 12/10/96 Runoff with another (R) Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat	Kevin Brady (R) 88.7%, Andre Dean (R) 11.3%,	journalist Don L. Richards (L),
9th Cong. District, 53% in December Runoff, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Nick Lampson (D),	salesman Tom Cottar (R) 45.2%, Adonn Slone (R) 21.7%, Don Beagle (R) 16.1%, Onzelo Markum (R) 17%,
10th Cong. District, 56.2% in '96, 2nd term Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Lloyd Doggett (D),	No Republican	carpenter Vincent J. May (L),
11th Cong. District, 56.8% in '96, 4th term Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Chet Edwards (D),	No Republican	businessman Vince Hanke (L),
12th Cong. District, 57.8% in '96, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
attorney Tom Hall (D),	Kay Granger (R),	computer consultant Paul Barthel (L), state party vice chair Thom Holmes (C/WI),
13th Cong. District, 67.0% in '96, 2nd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:7, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
assoc. prof. Mark Harmon (D) 68%, Ed True (D) 32%,	Mac Thornberry (R) 93.6%, Richard Amon (R) 6.4%,	caterer Georganne Baker Payne (L),
14th Cong. District, 51.0% in '96, 1st / 5th term Charles Cook's prediction: Lean Republican, Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Matagorda Co. Judge Loy Sneery (D) 40.1%, Tom Reed (D) 26.8%, Margaret Dunn (D) 24.4%, Roger M. Elliott (D) 8.6%,	Ron Paul (R),	consultant Cynthia Newman (WI),
15th Cong. District, 62.2% in '96, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:7, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Rubén Hinojosa (D),	'92 / '94 / '96 nominee / Author / Broadcaster / Pastor Tom Haughey (R),
16th Cong. District, 70.6% in '96, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Silvestre Reyes (D),	No Republican	math tutor Stu Nance (L), Lorenzo Morales (I),
17th Cong. District, 51.7% in '96, 10th term Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 4:5, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Charles Stenholm (D),	'96 nominee / dentist / rancher / ex-San Angelo City Councilman Rudy Izzard (R),	superviosr Gordon Mobley (L),
18th Cong. District, 77.0% in '96, 2nd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Sheila Jackson Lee (D),	No Republican	artist James Galvan (L),
19th Cong. District, 80.4% in '96, 7th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:20, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
animal welfare worker Sidney Blankenship (D),	Larry Combest (R),
20th Cong. District, 63.7% in '96, Henry B. Gonzalez (D) resigning on 12/31/97 after 18 ½ Terms, special election Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 67% Democrat
District Judge Charlie Gonzalez (D) 43.9%, Maria Antoniette Berriozabal (D) 22.3%, Armando Falcon (D) 7.3%, Richard Garcia (D) 1.6%, Christine Hernandez (D) 12.65%, Walter Martinez (D) 9.8%, Steve Walker (D) 2.45%,	'96 nominee / research scientist James Walker (R) 62.9%, John Shull (R) 37.1%,	system analyst / '96 nominee Alejandro "Alex" DePeña (L),
21st Cong. District, 76.4% in '96, 6th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat	Lamar Smith (R),	environmental engineer Jeffrey C. Blunt (L), Gary Thurman (I),
22nd Cong. District, 68.1% in '96, 7th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:15, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
Consultant Hill Kemp (D),	Tom DeLay (R),	salesman Steve Grupe (L),
23rd Cong. District, 61.9% in '96, 3rd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
attorney Charlie Urbina Jones (D) 45%, Joseph P. "Joe" Sullivan (D) 43.4%, Allan Rindfuss (D) 11.6%,	Henry Bonilla (R),	pharmicist William A. "Bill" Stallknecht (L),
24th Cong. District, 55.8% in '96, 10th term Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Martin Frost (D),	consultant Shawn Terry (R) 71.2%, Stan C. Penn (R) 28.8%,	upholsterer David A. Stover (L), George Arias (I),
25th Cong. District, 2nd term, 57% in 12/10/96 Runoff Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:3, D.C. Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Ken Bentsen (D),	physician / '96 candidate John M. Sanchez (R) 47.45%, ex-Democratic councilmember Beverley Clark (R) 35.7%, Bill Brock (R) 16.8%,	Eric Atkisson (L),
26th Cong. District, 73.6% in '96, 7th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Republican
No Democrat	Richard H. "Dick" Armey (R),	consultant Joe Turner (L),
27th Cong. District, 64.7% in '96, 8th term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:7, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Solomon P. Ortiz (D),	businessman / '94 nominee Erol A. Stone (R),	high school teacher Mark G. Pretz (L),
28th Cong. District, 64% in '97, Frank Tejeda (D) died 2/97, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
St. Rep. Ciro D. Rodriguez (D) 75.9%, Lauro A. Bustamante (D) 12.8%, Oscar H. Flores (D) 11.3%,	No Republican	physician Edward Elmer (L),
29th Cong. District, 67.4% in '96, 3rd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Gene Green (D),	No Republican	electrical engineer James P. Chudleigh (L), Lea Sherman (I),
30th Cong. District, 54.6% in '96, 3rd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Eddie Bernice Johnson (D),	program coordinator Carrie Kelleher (R),	college economics instructor Barbara L. Robinson (L),
Run Off Elections
Attorney General, Dan Morales (D) retiring,
ex-Att. Gen. Jim Mattox (D),	St. S. Ct. Justice John Cornyn (R) 57.9%, Barry Williamson (R) 42.1%,	businessman Mike Angwin (L),
9th Cong. District, 53% in December Runoff, 1st term Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Nick Lampson (D),	salesman Tom Cottar (R) 56.3%, Adonn Slone (R) 43.7%,
14th Cong. District, 51.0% in '96, 1st / 5th term Charles Cook's prediction: Lean Republican, Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Matagorda Co. Judge Loy Sneery (D) 52.4%, Tom Reed (D) 47.6%,	Ron Paul (R),	consultant Cynthia Newman (WI),
20th Cong. District, 63.7% in '96, Henry B. Gonzalez (D) resigning on 12/31/97 after 18 ½ Terms, special election Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 3:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 67% Democrat
District Judge Charlie Gonzalez (D) 62.1%, Maria Antoniette Berriozabal (D) 37.9%,	'96 nominee / research scientist James Walker (R),	system analyst / '96 nominee Alejandro "Alex" DePeña (L),
23rd Cong. District, 61.9% in '96, 3rd term Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
attorney Charlie Urbina Jones (D) 52.7%, Joseph P. "Joe" Sullivan (D) 47.3%,	Henry Bonilla (R),	pharmicist William A. "Bill" Stallknecht (L),
25th Cong. District, 2nd term, 57% in 12/10/96 Runoff Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:3, D.C. Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Ken Bentsen (D),	physician / '96 candidate John M. Sanchez (R) 65.5%, Beverley Clark (R) 39.5%,	Eric Atkisson (L),

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = American Constitutional Party - Affiliated with the U.S. Taxpayers Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates