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Washington Secretary of State - Elections Division

1998 Washington Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: July 31, Primary: September 15,
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
Senator, 54% in '92, 1st term
Stu Rothenberg's prediction: Likely Democrat, Charles Cook's prediction: Leans Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 4:5, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 64% Democrat
Patty Murray (D) 58.4% U.S. Rep. Linda Smith (R) 41.6% ex-GOPer / mover / pernnial candidate Mike The Mover? (Rfm), trotskyite activist Nan Bailey? (SW)
1st Cong. District, 52.1% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 4:5, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
ex-U.S. Rep./'96 Governor candidate Jay Inslee (D) 49.8% Rick White (R) 44.1% retired dentist / husband of '96 GOP Gov. nominee Bruce Craswell (AH) 6.1%
2nd Cong. District, 48% in '96, 2nd term, might retire in '00
Roll Call's prediction: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:2, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Republican
ex-Nat'l Guard Nurse Margaret "Greta" Cammermeyer (D) 44.8% Jack Metcalf (R) 55.2%
3rd Cong. District, 50% in '96, Linda Smith (R) 2nd term running for Senate
Charles Cook's prediction: Toss Up, Roll Call's prediction: Leans Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: 1:1, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
'96 nominee/ Prof. Brian Baird (D) 54.7% St. Sen. Don Benton (R) 45.3%
4th Cong. District, 52.0% in '96, 2nd term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
Gordon Allen Pross (D) 24.4% Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) 69.1% state party vice chair Peggy S. McKerlie (Rfm) 6.5%
5th Cong. District, 54.9% in '96, 2nd term, won't run for 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:3, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 77% Republican
farmer Brad Lyons (D) 38.1% George R. Nethercutt Jr. (R) 56.9% contractor John Beal (AH) 5.0%
6th Cong. District, 68.3% in '96, 11th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:10, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Democrat
Norman D. Dicks (D) 68.4% veteran Bob Lawrence (R) 31.6%
7th Cong. District, 82.3% in '96, 5th term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 1:100, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 100% Democrat
Jim McDermott (D) 88.2% no Republican transit worker / '96 Senate nominee Jeff Powers (SW) 2.4%, Physicist / Law Student /'97 Seattle Mayor Candidate Stan Lippmann (Rfm) 9.4%
8th Cong. District, 63.5% in '96, 3rd term
Roll Call's prediction: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's prediction: Republican favored 1:6, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 90% Republican
interior designer Heidi Behrens-Benedict (D) 40.3% Jennifer Dunn (R) 59.7%
9th Cong. District, 51.4% in '96, 1st term
Charles Cook's prediction: Leans Democrat, Roll Call's prediction: Likely Democrat, D.C.'s Report's prediction: Campaign & Election's prediction: Democrat favored 5:8, D.C.'s Report's prediction: 50% Democrat
Adam Smith (D) 64.7% '96 St. School Sup. candidate / real estate developer Ron Tabor (R) 35.3%

1. Key to Predictions: Roll Call,
The Cook Political Report,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
D.C.'s Political Report

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red print indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(AH) = American Heritage Party - Affiliated with the U.S. Taxpayers Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.