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Missouri Secretary of State - Elections
2000 Missouri Presidential, Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: 3/28/00, Primary: 8/8/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 47.5% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 47.08% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 50.42% Ralph Nader (G) 1.63%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (Rfm) 0.42%, Harry Browne (L) 0.32%, Howard Phillips (C) 0.08%, John S. Hagelin (NL) 0.05%,
Governor, 57.1% in '96, 2nd term, Mel Carnahan (D) barred from 3rd term, ran for U.S. Senate, died in plane crash on 10/16/00
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Rothenberg Report: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Democrat, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss Up, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
St. Treasurer Bob Holden (D) 49.1% U. S. Rep. James M. Talent (R) 48.2% John M. Swenson (L) 0.5%, Lavoy "Zaki Baruit" Reed (G) 0.4%, Richard L. Smith (C) 0.1%, coast guard retiree / '96 Republican Congressional nominee Richard Allen Kline (Rfm) 0.2%, minister Larry Rice (I) 1.5%,
Lt. Governor, Roger Wilson (D) retiring, became Governor on 10/16/00 following death of Carnahan
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican,
St. Sen. Joe Maxwell (D) 52.1% ex-U.S. Rep. / ex-St. Treas. Wendell Bailey (R) 44.0% Phillip W. "Phil" Horras (L) 0.9%, enviornmentalist Ben Kjelshus (G) 0.7%, Bob Wells (C) 0.7%, ex-St. Rep. / '98 St. Auditor nominee George D. "Boots" Weber (Rfm) 0.8%, Patricia A. Griffard (NL) 0.8%,
Attorney General,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Jeremiah W. "Jay" Nixon (D) 60.3% ex-st. tax comm'r / ex-judge / ex-prosecutor Sam Jones (R) 37.4% '94 / '96 Congressional nominee Mitch J. Moore (L) 2.3%,
Secretary of State, Rebecca "Bekki" Cook (D) retiring
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democratic,
St. House Speaker Steve Gaw (D) 45.1% St. Rep. / son of U.S. Rep. Matt Blunt (R) 51.4% Jane Spence Southard (L) 1.4%, Paula Elias (G) 1.1%, Donna L. Ivonovich (C) 0.4%, realtor / ex-teacher Marvalene Pankey (Rfm) 0.3%, Lois Benge (NL) 0.2%,
Treasurer, Bob Holden (D) running for Governor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democratic,
ex-St. Rep. Nancy Farmer (D) 51.5% Platte Co. prosecuter Todd Graves (R) 45.9% computer programmer Arnold J. Trembley (L) 0.8%, college student Ray VanLandingham (G) 0.8%, Kerry Culligan (C) 0.3%, ex-city alderman Terrence D. "Terry" Frank (Rfm) 0.4%, Marvin Carter (NL) 0.2%,
Senator, 60% in '94, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 10:9 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Republican Favored, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Vulnerable Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss Up, Hotline Scoop's Senate ranking: 7th Most Likely to Turn Over, Political Junkie: Republican, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's target, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Democrat,
Gov. Mel Carnahan (D) 50.5%
died in a plane crash on 10/16/00
widow Jean Carnahan is designated replacement
John Ashcroft (R) 48.4% '92 / 98 Congressional nominee Grant Samuel Stauffer (L) 0.4%, Evaline Taylor (G) 0.4%, businessman Hugh Foley (Rfm) 0.2%, Charles Dockins (NL) 0.1%, Alyson Kennedy (SW, WI) 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 72.6% in '98, 16th term, William L. "Bill" Clay, Sr. (D) retiring
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Open Seat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
St. Sen. William L. "Lacy" Clay Jr. (D) 75.2% ex-deputy city comptroller Z. Dwight Billingsly (R) 21.5% '96 nominee / '98 U.S. Senate nominee Tamara A. Millay (L) 1.1%, Brenda "Ziah" Reddick (G) 1.6%, teacher Robert Penningroth (Rfm) 0.5%,
2nd Congressional District, 70.0% in '98, James M. Talent (R) retiring after 4th term and running for Gov.
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:7 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Republican, Stuart Rothenberg: Most Vulnerable, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Republican, one of Hotline Scoop's 43 Hottest Races / Tier Two Open Seat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, National Republican Congressional Committee: Leans Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
St. Sen. Ted Clint House (D) 42.4% St. Rep. W. Todd Akin (R) 55.3% '92 nominee James Higgins (L) 0.8%, Mike Odell (G) 1.0%, gynecologist Richard J. Gimpelson (Rfm) 0.4%,
3rd Congressional District, 55.8% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Richard A. "Dick" Gephardt (D) 57.8% '98 nominee / author / historian Willliam J. "Bill" Federer (R) 39.7% '96 / '98 nominee / carpenter Michael H. Crist (L) 0.9%, Mary Maroney (G) 1.3%, Anthony J. "Tony" Windisch (Rfm) 0.3%,
4th Congressional District, 71.0% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
Ike Skelton (D) 66.9% ex-St. Sen. / '94 nominee James Alfred "Jim" Noland Jr. (R) 31.3% marine veteran Thomas L. "Tom" Knapp (L) 1.1%, James Edward Rinehart (Rfm) 0.7%,
5th Congressional District, 65.9% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Karen McCarthy (D) 68.9% assistant pastor Stephan J. "Steve" Gordon (R) 28.6% child counselor Alan Newberry (L) 1.0%, professor Charles Reitz (G) 1.1%, pipefitter Dennis M. Carriger (Rfm) 0.4%,
6th Congressional District, 70.9% in '98, Patricia "Patsy" Danner (D) retiring after 4th term, New Filing Deadline 5/30/00
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Democrat, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss Up, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Open Seat, Washington Post's Races to Watch List, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Republican,
ex-St. Sen. Steve Danner (D) 46.8% St. Sen. / ex-St. Rep. Samuel B. "Sam" Graves, Jr. (R) 50.9% Jimmy Dykes (L) 1.4%, computer consultant Marie Richey (NL) 1.0%,
7th Congressional District, 72.5% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
Charles Christrup (D) 23.9% Roy Blunt (R) 73.9% '94 nominee Doug Andrew Burlison (L) 1.1%, contractor Ron Lapham (Rfm) 0.4%, Sharalyn Harris (NL) 0.8%,
8th Congressional District, 62.6% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
Bob Camp (D) 29.0% Jo Ann H. Emerson (R) 69.3% '98 nominee John B. Hendricks, Jr. (L) 1.0%, Tom Sager (G) 0.7%,
9th Congressional District, 62.2% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
ex-St. Rep. Steven R. Carroll (D) 38.3% Kenny C. Hulshof (R) 59.2% '98 nominee / teacher / writer Robert C. "Bob" Hoffman (L) 1.3%, Devin M. Scherubel (G) 0.8%, Steven D. Dotson (Rfm) 0.4%,

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
The Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly Magazine,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti
,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,
The Washington Post,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = Constitution Party - formerly known as the Taxpayers Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.