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New Jersey Department of Law and Public Safety - Division of Elections
2000 New Jersey Presidential and Congressional Results
Primary Filing Deadline: 4/13/00, Filing Deadline for Third Party / independent candidates 6/6/00, Primary: 6/6/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 53.7% in 1996
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democrat, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 56.12% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 40.29% Ralph Nader (G) 2.97%, Harry Browne (L) 0.2%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (Rfm) 0.22%, John S. Hagelin (I) 0.07%, Howard Phillips (C) 0.04%, James E. Harris Jr. (SW) 0.03%, David E. McReynolds (S) 0.06%,
Senator, 50% in '94, Frank Lautenberg (D) retiring after 3th term, Next election in 2000
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Democratic, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Vulnerable Democrat, Cook Political Report's overview: Lean Democrat, Political Junkie: Democrat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Democrat,
ex-CEO of Goldman Sachs & Co. Jon S. Corzine (D) 50.6% U.S. Rep. Robert D. "Bob" Franks (R) 46.6% nurse / pro-life activist / '96 Congressional nominee Lorraine L. LaNeve (Cns) 0.1%, civil rights attorney Bruce Afran (G) 1.1%, veteran Emerson Ellett (L) 0.2%, songwriter Pat DiNizio (Rfm) 0.6%, '94 congressional nominee Greg Pason (S, Ind) 0.1%, Nancy Rosenstock (SW) 0.1%, Dennis A. Breen (I) 0.2%, J.M. Carter (I) 0.2%, George Gostigian (I) 0.1%,
1st Congressional District, 73.2% in '98, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Robert E. Andrews (D) 76.2% attorney Charlene Cathcart (R) 21.1% Joseph A. Patalivo (Cns) 0.4%, Catherine L. Parrish (G) 1.4%, '98 nominee / marijuana legalization activist Edward "Rob" Forchion (M) 0.9%, George Lyne (WI),
2nd Congressional District, 65.9% in '98, 3rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
retired professor Edward G. Janosik (D) 31.5% Frank A. LoBiondo (R) 66.5% Robert "Gabe" Gabrielsky (G) 1.2%, Constantino "Tino" Rozzo (S) 0.7%,
3rd Congressional District, 62.0% in '98, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Republican Favored, one of Hotline Scoop's 43 Hottest Races/ Tier Two Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
Chery Hill Mayor Susan Bass Levin (D) 42.6% Jim Saxton (R) 56.1% retired businessman / '96 1st District nominee / '98 nominee Norman E. Wahner (Cns) 0.3%, translator Aaron M. Kromash (G) 0.8%, artist / '96 / '98 nominee Ken Feduniewicz (Rfm) 0.2%,
4th Congressional District, 62.2% in '98, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
St. Assemblymember Reed Gusciora (D) 37.0% Christopher H. Smith (R) 61.2% Stuart "Stu" Chaifetz (G) 1.5%, Paul D. Teel (I) 0.3%,
5th Congressional District, 63.7% in '98, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
attorney Linda A. Mercurio (D) 30.5% Marge Roukema (R) 65.3% Michael "MJ" King (G) 2.0%, Robert J. McCafferty (Ind) 1.5%, artist / '94 / '96 / '98 nominee Helen D. Hamilton (NL) 0.2%, Ira W. Goodman (Rfm) 0.5%,
6th Congressional District, 57.0% in '98, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Frank Pallone Jr. (D) 67.4% ex-St. Sen. Brian T. Kennedy (R) 29.8% software specialist Sylvia Kuzmak (Cns) 0.2%, retired businessman / community activist Earl Gray (G), Karen Zaletel (Rfm) 0.6%,
7th Congressional District, Robert D. "Bob" Franks (R) running for U.S. Senate, 52.5% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:7 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Stuart Rothenberg: Most Vulnerable, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss up, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Open Seat, identified by The Associated Press as a Key House Race, Washington Post's Races to Watch List, National Republican Congressional Committee: Very Competitive, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
ex-Fanwood Mayor / '98 nominee / ex-AT&T executive Maryanne S. Connelly (D) 47.1% prof. / '98 6th Congressional District nominee Michael A. "Mike" Ferguson (R) 49.5% vocational education teacher Shawn Gianella (Cns) 0.2%, city councilman Jerry L. Coleman (G) 2.8%, '98 nominee Darren A. Young (L) 0.4%, Mary T. Johnson (NL) 0.1%,
8th Congressional District, 62.1% in '98, 2nd term, Might run for Governor in '01
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
William J. "Bill" Pascrell Jr. (D) 67.1% attorney Anthony Fusco Jr. (R) 30.2% peace activist Joseph A. "Joe" Fortunato (G) 2.2%, professor Viji Sargis (Ind) 0.5%,
9th Congressional District, 64.5% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Steven R. Rothman (D) 67.8% ex-Fair Lawn Mayor Joseph Tedeschi (R) 30.1% Robert Corriston (Cns) 0.5%, Lewis Pell (G) 1.1%, '97 governor candidate / '98 nominee / bar owner Michael Perrone Jr. (Pr) 0.5%,
10th Congressional District, 83.5% in '98, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Donald M. Payne (D) 87.5% RNC committeeman Dirk B. Weber (R) 12.2% '94 / '98 nominee / business manager of The Militant Maurice Williams (SW) 0.3%,
11th Congressional District, 67.7% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
attorney / '98 nominee John P. Scollo (D) 39.5% Rodney P. Frelinghuysen (R) 68.0% James E. "Jim" Spinosa (Cns) 0.6%, John Pickarski (G) 1.9%,
12th Congressional District, 50.1% in '98, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democrat, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss up, identified by The Associated Press as a Key House Race, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Freshmen, identified by Roll Call as forth most vulnerable, Washington Post's Races to Watch List, identified by the Wall Street Journal as one of the decisive dozen, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Republican,
Rush Dew Holt (D) 48.7% ex-U.S. Rep. Richard "Dick" Zimmer (R) 48.7% '98 nominee / systems engineer John P. Desmond (Cns) 0.4%, attorney / '92 independent candidate / '98 candidate / ex-Democrat Carl J. Mayer (G) 1.9%, programmer Worth Winslow (L) 0.4%,
13th Congressional District, 80.0% in '98, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Robert Menendez (D) 78.5% '98 nominee / accountant Theresa de León (R) 18.9% pro-life activist / '98 independent candidate Richard S. "Dick" Hester (C) 0.4%, Claudette C. Meliere (G) 1.8%, Kari J. Sachs (SW), '92 / '94 / '96 candidate Herbert H. Shaw (I) 0.2%, Alina Lydia Fonteboa (I) 0.1%,

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti
,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,
Washington Post,
Wall Street Journal,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = Constitution Party
(Cns) = New Jersey Conservative Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(Ind) = New Jersey Independents Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(M) = Legalize Marijuana Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Pr) = Progressive Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.