D.C.'s Political Report: New Mexico Presidential and Congressional Results

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New Mexico Secretary of State - Bureau of Elections

2000 New Mexico Presidential and Congressional Results
Filing Deadline: 2/8/00, Primary: 6/6/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties

President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3^rd term, 49.2% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democrat, Others' Predictions,

Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 47.91% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 47.85% Harry Browne (L) 0.34%, Patrick J. 'Pat' Buchanan (Rfm) 0.23%, Ralph Nader (G) 3.55%, John S. Hagelin (NL) 0.06%, Howard Phillips (C) 0.06%, Daniel Joseph Pearlman (WI),

Senator, 54% in '94, 3^rd term, Next election in 2000
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Democratic Watch List, Cook Political Report's overview: Solid Democrat, Political Junkie: Democrat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Democrat,r

Jeff Bingaman (D) 61.8% ex-U.S. Rep. William F. "Bill" Redmond (R) 38.2% Orlin G. Cole (R, WI) 0.1%,

1st Congressional District, 48.4% in '98, 1^st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Two Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican,Ron Gunzburger: Republican,

U.S. Attorney John J. Kelly (D) 43.2% Heather A. Wilson (R) 50.4% Dr. Daniel Kerlinsky (G) 6.4%

2nd Congressional District, 57.9% in '98, 10^th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Republican Favored, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,

St. Treas. Michael A. Montoya (D) 41.9% Joe R. Skeen (R) 58.1% Carlos R. Provencio (G, WI)

3rd Congressional District, 53.2% in '98, 1^st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Freshmen,

Tom Udall (D) 67.3% St. Rep. Lisa L. Lutz (R) 32.7%

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
The Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly Magazine,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti,
u Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates