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Washington Secretary of State - Elections Division

2000 Washington Presidential, Congressional and Statewide Results
Filing Deadline: 7/28/00, Primary: 9/19/00
Last Updated: December 14, 2000
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties
President, William J. Clinton (D) barred from 3rd term, 49.8% in '96
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democrat, Others' Predictions,
Albert A. "Al" Gore, Jr. (D) 50.16% George W. "Dubya" Bush (R) 44.58% Ralph Nader (G) 4.14%, Harry Browne (L) 0.53%, 'Patrick J. Pat' Buchanan (F) 0.29%, John S. Hagelin (NL) 0.12%, Howard Phillips (C) 0.08%, Monica Moorehead (WW) 0.07%, David E. McReynolds (S) 0.03%, James E. Harris Jr. (SW) 0.01%,
Governor, 56% in '96, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Rothenberg Report: Likely / Safe Democrat, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Cook Political Report's overview: Likely Democrat, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Gary Locke (D) 58.4% radio talk show host John Carlson (R) 39.7% real estate broker / planning commissioner Steve LePage (L) 1.9%, transit worker Chris Rayson (SW, WI) 0.0%,
Lt. Governor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Brad Owen (D) 54.2% Rainier Mayor William "Mike" Elliott (R) 37.9% travel agent Ruth E. Bennett (L) 7.8%
Secretary of State, Ralph Munro (R) retiring,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democratic,
ex-U.S. Rep. / '88 U.S. Senate candidate Don L. Bonker (D) 46.6% Co. Auditor Sam Reed (R) 47.1% attorney J. Bradley "Brad" Gibson (L) 4.1%, County United Way executive director Gregory Christopher "Chris" Loftis (Rfm) 2.2%,
Attorney General,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Christine O. Gregoire (D) 56.0% attorney Richard Pope (R) 38.2% attorney Richard Shepard (L) 3.9%, Luanne Coachman (NL) 1.0%, physicist / '98 Reform Party Congressional candidate Stan Lippmann (NM) 0.8%,
Treasurer,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Michael J. "Mike" Murphy (D) 55.8% accountant Diane Rhoades (R) 39.9% Tim Perman (L) 4.3%
Auditor,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic,
Brian Sonntag (D) 57.6% consultant / ex-city councilman Richard McEntee (R) 36.9% computer entrepreneur Chris Caputo (L) 5.5%
Insurance Commissioner, Deborah Senn (D) defeat in Democratic primary for U.S. Senate,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Democratic,
ex-U.S. Rep. Mike Kreidler (D) 53.4% ex-Bellevue Mayor Don Davidson (R) 42.5% management consultant / water commissioner Mike Hihn (L) 4.1%
Public Lands Commissioner, Jennifer M. Belcher (D) retiring,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic
ex-Gov. / ex-U.S. Rep. Mike Lowry (D) 45.0% ex-Tacoma Mayor / Pierce County Executive Doug Sutherland (R) 49.6% zoologist Steve Layman (L) 5.4%
School Superintendent, Non-partisan election,
Dr. Terry Bergeson (R)
Senator, 56% in '94, 2nd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Republican, Stuart Rothenberg's rating: Vulnerable Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Lean Republican, Hotline Scoop's Senate ranking: 10th Most Likely to Turn Over, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee's target, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat, Ken Rubin: Republican,
ex-U.S. Rep. Maria Cantwell (D) 48.72% Slade Gorton (R) 48.64% attorney Jeff Jared (L) 2.63%, aircraft worker Steve Breen (SW, WI) 0.0%, realtor Kevin McKeigue (I) 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 49.8% in '98, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Democrat, one of Hotline Scoop's 43 Hottest Races / Tier Two Freshman, identified by The Associated Press as a Key House Race, , Washington Post's Races to Watch List, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Jay Inslee (D) 54.6% St. Sen. Dan McDonald (R) 42.6% engineer Bruce Newman (L) 2.8%
2nd Congressional District, 55.2% in '98, Jack Metcalf (R) retiring after3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 50% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: No Clear Favorite, Stuart Rothenberg: Most Vulnerable, Cook Political Report's overview: Toss up, identified by The Associated Press as a Key House Race, one of Hotline Scoop's 25 Hottest Races / Tier One Open Seat, Washington Post's Races to Watch List, National Republican Congressional Committee: Very Competitive, identified by the Wall Street Journal as one of the decisive dozen, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
Snohomish Co. Councilmember Richard Ray "Rick" Larson (D) 50.0% St. Rep. John Koster (R) 45.9% Dr. Stuart Andrews (L) 2.6%, farmer Glen S. Johnson (NL) 1.4%,
3rd Congressional District, 54.7% in '98, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat, Cook Political Report's overview: Likely Democratic, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Freshmen, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat,
Brian Baird (D) 56.4% tax analyst Trent R. Matson (R) 40.6% businessman / architect Erne Lewis (L) 3.0%
4th Congressional District, 69.1% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Likely Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican,
farmer Jim Davis (D) 37.3% Richard "Doc" Hastings (R) 60.9% investment advisor / ex-school superintendent Fred D. Krauss (L) 1.8%
5th Congressional District, 56.9% in '98, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 63% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Toss up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:7 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Republican, one of Hotline Scoop's 43 Hottest Races / Tier One Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Republican, Ron Gunzburger: Republican,
attorney Tom Keefe (D) 38.9% George R. Nethercutt, Jr. (R) 57.3% town councilman / businessman Greg Holmes (L) 3.8%
6th Congressional District, 68.4% in '98, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Norman D. Dicks (D) 64.7% '98 nominee / retired Air Force Colonel Bob Lawrence (R) 31.1% Dr. John Bennett (L) 4.2%
7th Congressional District, 88.2% in '98, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 100% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Democrat,
Jim McDermott (D) 72.8% No Republican corporate finance executive Joel Grus (L) 7.6%, teacher / ex-City Councilman Joe Szwaja (G) 19.6%,
8th Congressional District, 59.7% in '98, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 90% Republican, Roll Call's Outlook: Safe Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Safe Republican, Hotline Scoop's Tier Four Veteran,
interior designer / '98 nominee Heidi Behrens-Benedict (D) 35.6% Jennifer Dunn (R) 62.2% software engineer Bernard McIlroy (L) 2.1%
9th Congressional District, 64.7% in '98, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Prediction: 77% Democratic, Roll Call's Outlook: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's ranking: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report's overview: Leans Democratic, Hotline Scoop's Tier Three Veteran, Peter Orvetti's Prediction: Democrat, Ron Gunzburger: Democrat,
Adam Smith (D) 61.7% King Co. Councilman / ex-St. Rep. Chris Vance (R) 35.0% health clinic director Jonathan V. Wright (L) 3.4%

1. Link to Predictions: (D.C.'s Political Report no longer assures that these links are active)
ABC News,
Associated Press,
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly,
The Cook Political Report,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Ron Gunzburger,
The National Journal's and The Hotline's Hotline Scoop.com,
Peter J. M. Orvetti,
Roll Call,
The Rothenberg Political Report,
Ken Rubin,
Washington Post,
Wall Street Journal,

2. Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races. Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Party Identification.
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(F) = Freedom Party - Affiliated with Reform Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(NL) = Natural Law Party
(NM) = Natural Medicine Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WW) = Workers World Party


Copyright ª 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.