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Florida Department of State - Division of Elections
2004 Florida Congressional and Statewide Results
Presidential Primary: 3/9/04, Federal Filing Deadline: 5/7/04, State Filing Deadline: 7/16/04, Primary: 8/31/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 9/1/04,
Last Updated: December 17, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 48.861% in '00, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Battleground, John Zogby: In Play, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 30:29 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 47.1%, George W. Bush (R) 52.1%, Ralph Nader (Rfm) 0.4%,
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.2%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.1%,
David Cobb (G) 0.1%,
Walt Brown (S) 0.05%,
James Harris (SW) 0.04%,
Senator, 62.5% in '98, Bob Graham (D) retiring after 3rd term, next election in 2004, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, John J. Miller: Leaning Republican, New York Times: Toss Up, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 1:1,
ex-Education Comm'r. Betty Castor (D) 48.3%, ex-US HUD Sec. / ex-Orange Co. Comm'r. Melquiades Rafael "Mel" Martinez (R) 49.4%, businessman Dennis F. Bradley (V) 2.2%,
prof. Piotr Blass (WI) 0.0%, Rachele Fruit (WI/SW) 0.0%, businessman Mark K. Stufft (WI) 0.0%, Nancy Travis (WI) 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 74.6% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
restuarant cook / '00 write in candidate Mark S. Coutu (D) 23.5%, Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller (R) 76.5%,
2nd Congressional District, 66.9% in '02, 4th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Hotline: Sleeper
F. Allen Boyd Jr (D) 61.6%, St. Rep. Bev Kilmer (R) 38.3%, '00 candidate Thomas A. "TAF" Frederick (WI) 0.0%,
3rd Congressional District, 59.3% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat,
Corrine Brown (D) 99.2%, No Republican Johnny M. Brown (WI) 0.8%,
4th Congressional District, 99.7% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Ander Crenshaw (R) 99.5%, prof. Richard Grayson (WI) 0.5%,
5th Congressional District, 47.9% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Cook Political Report: Competitive Race,
attorney Robert G. Whittel (D) 34.1%, Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite (R) 65.9%, H. David Werder (WI) 0.0%,
6th Congressional District, 65.4% in '02, 8th term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 20:1 Republican,
environmental engineer / '02 nominee David E. Bruderly (D) 35.6%, Clifford B. "Cliff" Stearns (R) 64.4%, N. W. O'Brien (WI) 0.0%,
7th Congressional District, 59.6% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat John L. Mica (R),
8th Congressional District, 65.1% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
teacher / businessman Stephen Thomas Murray (D) 39.5%, Richard Anthony "Ric" Keller (R) 60.5%,
9th Congressional District, 71.5% in '02, 12th term, retiring in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Michael Bilirakis (R) 99.9%, '02 write in candidate / security guard Andrew G. Pasayan (WI) 0.1%,
10th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 17th term, might retire
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
retired banker Robert D. "Bob" Derry (D) 30.7%, C.W. "Bill" Young (R) 69.3%,
11th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 4th term, might run for Governor
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Jim Davis (D) 85.8%, No Republican Robert Edward Johnson (L) 14.1%,
'02 Agr. Comm'r. candidate Karl M. Butts (SW/WI) 0.1%,
12th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
chemist Robert Doller Hagenmaier (D) 35.1%, Adam Hughes Putnam (R) 64.9%,
13th Congressional District, 54.8% in '02, 1st, might run for Senate, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
'02 nominee attorney Jan Schneider (D) 44.7%, Katherine Harris (R) 55.3%,
14th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, Porter Johnston Goss (R) retiring after 8th term and appointed CIA Director,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
businessman Robert M. Neeld (D) 32.5%, St. Rep. Connie Mack, IV (R) 67.5%,
15th Congressional District, 63.1% in '02, 5th term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
ex-defense contractor Simon M. "Sy" Pristoop (D) 34.6%, David J. Weldon (R) 65.4%,
16th Congressional District, 78.9% in '02, 5th term, might run for Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
community activist Jeff Fisher (D) 32.0%, Mark Adam Foley (R) 68.0%,
17th Congressional District, 99.9% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Kendrick B. Meek (D) 99.6%, No Republican Omari Musa (SW/WI) 0.4%,
18th Congressional District, 69.1% in '02, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
U.Va. law student Samuel M. "Sam" Sheldon (D) 35.3%, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) 64.7%,
19th Congressional District, 72.2% in '02, 4rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Robert Wexler (D), No Republican
20th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 6th term, Peter Deutsch (D) running for U.S. Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 50:1 Democrat,
St. Sen. Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) 70.2%, realtor Margaret Hostetter (R) 29.8%,
21st Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Lincoln Diaz-Balart (R) 72.8%, airline employee / '02 Illinois Congressional nominee Frank J. Gonzalez (L) 27.2%,
journalist Seth E. Galinsky (WI/SW),
22nd Congressional District, 60.8% in '02, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
congressional aide Robin Rorapaugh (D) 35.3%, E. Clay Shaw, Jr. (R) 62.8%, '02 nominee / salesman John I. "Jack" McLain (C) 1.7%,
Don Kennedy (WI) 0.2%,
23rd Congressional District, 77.5% in '02, 6th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Alcee L. Hastings (D), No Republican
24th Congressional District, 61.8% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Tom Feeney (R),
25th Congressional District, 64.6% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 20:1 Republican,
No Democrat Mario Diaz-Balart (R),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
John J. Miller,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Florida Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(V) = Veterans Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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