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Hawaii Office of Elections
2004 Hawaii Congressional and Statewide Races
Democratic caucuses: 2/24/04, GOP Caucuses: 3/2/04, New Political Parties Deadline: 4/1/04, Filing Deadline: 7/20/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 9/3/04, Primary: 9/18/04,
Last Updated: December 20, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 37.5% in '00, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Kerry, Cook Political Report: Solid Kerry, Washington Post: Kerry, Washington Times: Kerry, John Zogby: Kerry, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 2:1 Kerry,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 53.7%, George W. Bush (R) 45.0%, David Cobb (G) 0.4%,
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.3%,
Senator, 79.2% in '98, 7th term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, Larry Sabato: Solid Democratic, New York Times: Remains Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 9:1 Democrat,
Daniel K. Inouye (D) 72.7%, ex-St. Rep. / '02 Lt. Governor candidate / investment adviser Campbell "Cam" Cavasso (R) 20.2%, television producer / '98 and '02 Gov. candidate James R. Brewer, Jr. (I) 2.1%,
writer / '98 & '00 Senate nominee / '02 congressional nominee Lloyd "Jeff" Mallan (L) 1.2%,
blank votes 3.7%, write in votes 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 68.6% in '02, 8th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Neil Abercrombie (D) 60.5%, ex-tv news anchor / consultant / '02 Lt. Gov. candidate Dalton I. Tanonaka (R) 32.6%, Elyssa "Erin O'Bryn" Young (L) 2.9%,
Blank votes 3.9%, write in votes 0.0%,
2nd Congressional District, 43.2% in '03 Special Election, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat,
Edward E. "Ed" Case (D) 60.9%, Honolulu city councilmember Mike M. Gabbard (R) 36.1%, Blank votes 3.0%, write in votes 0.0%, '03 candidate Sophie Marie Mataafa (WI),

1. Link to Predictions:
Campaign & Election Magazine,
Congressional Quarterly,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Hawaii Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


Copyright 1998-2005 D.C. Finegold-Sachs.