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Illinois State Board of Elections
2004 Illinois Congressional and Statewide Races
Filing Deadline: 12/15/03, Primary Withdrawal Deadline: 12/22/03, Nomination Deadline: 1/5/04, Presidential Primary Filing Deadline: 1/14/04, Presidential Withdrawal Deadline: 2/2/04, Write-in Deadline: 3/9/04, Primary: 3/16/04, Presidential Primary: 3/16/04, Filing Deadline for major parties: 5/17/04, Filing Deadline for 3rd parties / Independents: 6/21/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 6/21/04, Replacement Nominee Deadline: 8/26/04, Withdrawal Deadline: 9/2/04, write-in deadline: 10/26/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 42.6% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Kerry, Cook Political Report: Solid Kerry, Washington Post: Kerry, Washington Times: Kerry, John Zogby: Kerry, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 2:1 Kerry,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 54.8%, George W. Bush (R) 44.5%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.6%,
Ralph Nader (WI) 0.1%, David Cobb (G/WI) 0.004%, Peter M. Camejo (WI) 0.002%, Lawson Bone (WI) 0.00007%, Ernest Virag (WI) 0.00007%, John J. Kennedy (WI) 0.00007%, David Cook (WI) 0.00003%, Margaret Trowe (SW/WI) 0.0001%, Joann Breivogel (WI) 0.0001%, Robert M. Christensen (WI) 0.0001%,
Senator, 50.3% in '98, Peter G. Fitzgerald (R) retiring after 1st term, Next electon in 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, Larry Sabato: Leans Democratic, John J. Miller: Leaning Democratic, New York Times: Likely Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 4:1 Democrat,
St. Sen. Barack Obama (D) 70.0%, Ex-Amb. / '00 Presidential candidate / '88 & '92 Maryland Senate nominee Alan L. Keyes (R) 27.0%, Albert J. Franzen (I) 1.6%,
teacher Jerry Kohn (L) 1.3%,
surgeon / Republican Mark Kuhnke (WI) 0.04%, Doody (WI) 0.006%, Campbell (WI) 0.002%, teacher / Republican Don McArthur-Self (WI) 0.002%, Bill (WI) 0.0007%, Hester (WI) 0.0004%, Carlson (WI) 0.0004%, McDowell (WI) 0.000097%, Seida (WI) 0.000019%, Seida (WI) 0.000019%, Daniel R. Vovak (WI) 0.0%,
1st Congressional District, 81.2% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Bobby L. Rush (D) 84.9%, clown / '95 Chicago Mayor nominee / '00 & '02 nominee Raymond G. "Ray" Wardingley (R) 15.1%,
2nd Congressional District, 82.3% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Jesse L. Jackson Jr. (D) 88.5%, No Republican Stephanie Sailor (L) 11.5%,
3rd Congressional District, unopposed in '02, William O. "Bill" Lipinski (D) after 11th term, might retire,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Univ. of TN prof. Dan Lipinski (D) 72.6%, Ryan Chlada (R) 25.1%, Krista Grimm (WI) 2.2%,
4th Congressional District, 79.7% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Luis V. Gutierrez (D) 83.7%, '02 nominee Tony Cisneros (R) 12.4%, Jake Witmer (L) 3.9%,
5th Congressional District, 66.8% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Rahm Emanuel (D) 76.2%, Bruce Best (R) 23.8%, realtor / ex-Co. Comm'r. Nick Libert (WI),
6th Congressional District, 65.1% in '02, 15th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
investment exec. Christine Cegelis (D) 44.2%, Henry J. Hyde (R) 55.8%,
7th Congressional District, 83.2% in '02, 4rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Danny K. Davis (D) 86.1%, investment executive Antonio Davis-Fairman (R) 13.9%,
8th Congressional District, 57.4% in '02, 18th term, Poll,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
'02 nominee / business consultant Melissa Bean (D) 51.7%, Philip M. Crane (R) 48.3%, realtor / insurance agent / engineer / '02 nominee Chuck Kelecic (L/WI),
9th Congressional District, 70.3% in '02, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Janice D. "Jan" Schakowsky (D) 75.7%, Kurt J. Eckhardt (R) 24.3%,
10th Congressional District, 68.8% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
mediator Lee Goodman (D) 35.9%, Mark Steven Kirk (R) 64.1%,
11th Congressional District, 64.3% in '02, 5th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
County Board member Tari Renner (D) 41.3%, Gerald C. "Jerry" Weller (R) 58.7%,
12th Congressional District, 69.2% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Jerry F. Costello (D) 69.5%, attorney Erin R. Zeigart (R) 28.9%, Walter B. Steele (L) 1.7%,
Beard (WI) 0.0007%,
13th Congressional District, 70.3% in '02, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
Gloria Schor Andersen (D) 34.9%, Judy Biggert (R) 65.1%, Mastrogiovanni (WI) 0.001%,
14th Congressional District, 74.1% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
Ruben Kanhai-Zamora (D) 31.4%, J. Dennis Hastert (R) 68.6%,
15th Congressional District, 65.2% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
Dr. David Gill (D) 38.9%, Timothy V. "Tim" Johnson (R) 61.1%,
16th Congressional District, 70.6% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
industrial designer / '02 nominee / John Kutsch (D) 30.9%, Donald A. Manzullo (R) 69.1%, Thomas R. Carlson (WI) 0.001%,
17th Congressional District, 62.4% in '02, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat,
Lane A. Evans (D) 60.7%, ex-news anchor Andrea Lane Zinga (R) 39.3%,
18th Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 5th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
ex-Nat'l Gaurdman Steve Waterworth (D) 29.8%, Ray Lahood (R) 70.2%, activist Richard J. Rawlings (M/WI),
19th Congressional District, 54.8% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
internet publisher Tim Bagwell (D) 30.6%, John M. Shimkus (R) 69.4%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
John J. Miller,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Illinois Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(M) = Marijuana Party
(R) = Republican Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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