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Indiana Secretary of State - Elections Division
2004 Indiana Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Filing Deadline: 2/10/04, Filing Deadline: 2/20/04, Presidential Primary: 5/4/04, Primary: 5/4/04, Republican Convention: 6/7-8/04, Democratic Convention: 6/12/04, Presidential & Independent Filing Deadline: 7/1/04, Nomination Deadline: 7/15/04, Write-in Deadline: 9/20/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 56.6% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Solid Bush, Washington Post: Bush, Washington Times: Bush, John Zogby: Bush, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 3:1 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 39.3%, George W. Bush (R) 59.9%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.7%,
David Cobb (G/WI) 0.0%, Walter F. "Walt" Brown (S/WI) 0.0%, Ralph Nader (WI) 0.1%, John Joseph Kennedy (WI) 0.002%, Lawson Mitchell Bone (WI) 0.0002%,
Governor 56.2% in '00, Frank O'Bannon (D) barred from 3rd, died September 13, 2003, next election in 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1,
Joseph Kernan (D) 45.5%, OMB Director Mitchell E. "Mitch" Daniels, Jr. (R) 53.2%, businessman Kenn Gividen (L) 1.3%,
Velko Kapetanov (WI) 0.0009%,
Lt. Governor, 56.2% in '00, 2nd term, Joseph Kernan (D) became Governor, Next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
Katherine L. "Kathy" Davis (D) 45.5%, St. Sen. Becky Skillman (R) 53.2%, Presidential nominee's mother Elaine Badnarik (L) 1.3%,
Attorney General, 51.9% in '00, Next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
ex-Secretary of State / '92 Senate nominee / '94 Congressional nominee Joseph "Joe" H. Hogsett (D) 39.9%, Steve Carter (R) 58.2%, Aaron T. Milewski (L) 1.9%,
School Superintendent, 57.8% in '00, Next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican
Indianapolis City-County Councilmember Susan Williams (D) 41.0%, Suellen Reed (R) 56.1%, teacher / '98 & '00 congressional nominee Joe Hauptmann (L) 2.9%,
Senator, 63.7% in '98, 1st term, next election in 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, Larry Sabato: Solid Democratic, New York Times: Remains Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 8:1 Democrat,
Evan Bayh (D) 61.6%, '94 & '00 congressional nominee / professor Marvin Bailey Scott (R) 37.2%, Albert Barger (L) 1.1%,
1st Congressional District, 66.9% in '02, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Peter J. Visclosky (D) 68.3%, carpenter / '00 candidate / '02 nominee Mark J. Leyva (R) 31.7%,
2nd Congressional District, 50.5% in '02, 1st term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List,
attorney / businessman Joseph S. Donnelly (D) 44.5%, Joseph Christopher "Chris" Chocola (R) 54.2%, Douglas Barnes (L) 1.3%,
3rd Congressional District, 63.1% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican,
peace activist / insurance agent Maria M. Parra (D) 30.8%, Mark E. Souder (R) 69.2%,
4th Congressional District, 71.4% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
prof. David A. Sanders (D) 28.3%, Stephen Buyer (R) 69.5%, Kevin R. Fleming (L) 2.2%,
5th Congressional District, 72.0% in '02, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Republican,
realtor / ex-teacher / '02 nominee Katherine Fox Carr (D) 26.0%, Dan Burton (R) 71.8%, Rick Hodgin (L) 2.2%,
6th Congressional District, 63.8% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican,
farmer / '02 nominee Melina "Mel" Fox (D) 31.3%, Mike Pence (R) 67.1%, Chad "Wick" Roots (L) 1.6%,
7th Congressional District, 53.1% in '02, 4rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat,
Julia M. Carson (D) 54.3%, engineer / '99 Indianapolis Mayor nominee / '00 Gov. nominee / '02 Libertarian nominee Andrew M. "Andy" Horning (R) 43.7%, loss prevention manager Barry Campbell (L) 2.0%,
8th Congressional District, 51.3% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:7 Republican, Congress Daily: Key Battle, Cook Political Report: Leans Republican, Larry Sabato: Leans Republican,
pro basketball recruiter Jon P. Jennings (D) 44.5%, John N. Hostettler (R) 53.4%, Mark Garvin (L) 2.1%,
peace activist Clark Gabriel Field (G)?,
9th Congressional District, 51.2% in '02, 3rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Democrat, Congress Daily: Key Battle, Cook Political Report: Leans Democratic, Larry Sabato: Leans Democratic,
Baron P. Hill (D) 49.0%, businessman / '02 nominee Mike Sodrel (R) 49.4%, Al Cox (L) 1.6%,
psychologist / '02 nominee Jeff Melton (G/WI),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Indiana Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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