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Louisiana Secretary of State - Elections Division
2004 Louisiana Congressional Races
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Presidential Filing Deadline: 1/30/04, Presidential Primary: 3/9/04, Filing Period: 8/6/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 9/7/04, Primary: 9/18/04, General Election: 11/2/04, Congressional Run-Off: 12/4/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 52.5% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Likely Bush, Washington Post: Bush, Washington Times: Bush, John Zogby: Bush, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 5:4 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 42.2%, George W. Bush (R) 56.7%, Ralph Nader (Better Life) 0.4%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.3%,
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.1%,
David Cobb (G) 0.1%,
James Harris (SW) 0.1%,
Walt Brown (Protecting Working Families) 0.1%,
Gene Amondson (Pro) 0.1%,
Senator, 64.0% in '98, John B. Breaux (D) retiring after 3nd term, Next election 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, John J. Miller: Toss-Up, New York Times: Remains Toss Up, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 3:2 Republican,
U.S. Rep. Christopher John (D) 29.3%, St. Treas. John N. Kennedy (D) 14.9%, '98 candidate / '00 & '02 Congressional candidate Sam Houston Melton, Jr. (D) 0.7%, St. Rep. Arthur A. Morrell (D) 2.6%, U.S. Rep. David Vitter (R) 51.0%, computer programmer Richard M. Fontanesi (L) 0.8%,
ex-Jefferson Parish clerk of courts R. A. "Skip" Galan (I) 0.7%,
1st Congressional District, 81.5% in '02, 3rd term, David Vitter (R) running for U.S. Senate, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
white supremacist Roy Armstrong (D) 6.7%, retired Air Force sergeant M. V. "Vinny" Mendoza (D) 4.4%, surgeon / attorney Jerry Watts (D) 3.5%, attorney Daniel Zimmerman (D) 4.2%, '03 Gov. nominee Piyush "Bobby" Jindal (R) 78.4%, health care consultant Mike Rogers (R) 2.8%,
2nd Congressional District, 63.5% in '02, 7th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
William J. Jefferson (D) 79.0%, real estate appraiser Art Schwertz (R) 21.0%,
3rd Congressional District, 86.7% in '02, W. J. "Billy" Tauzin (R) retring after 13th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:8 Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, Democratic Target,
ex-St. Sen. / American Sugar Cane League Pres. Charles J. "Charlie" Melancon (D) 23.9%, St. Rep. Damon J. Baldone (D) 9.8%, ex-congressional aide Charmaine Caccioppi (D) 7.3%, William J. "Billy" Tauzin, III (R) 32.0%, St. Sen. Craig F. Romero (R) 23.1%, physician Kevin D. Chiasson (R) 3.9%,
4th Congressional District, 71.6% in '02, 9th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Jim McCrery (R),
5th Congressional District, 50.3% in '02 Runoff as a Democrat, 1st term, Current Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up,
domestic engineer Zelma "Tisa" Blakes (D) 24.6%, Rodney Alexander (R) 59.4%, ex-St. Rep. / 1985 candidate John W. "Jock" Scott (R) 16.0%,
6th Congressional District, 84.0% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
attorney Rufus Holt Craig, Jr. (D) 19.4%, St. Helena parish School Board member Edward Anthony "Scott" Galmon (D) 8.4%, Richard H. Baker (R) 72.2%,
7th Congressional District, 86.8% in '02, 4th term, Christopher John (D) running for U.S. Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 15:14 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up,
St. Sen. Willie L. Mount (D) 25.2%, St. Sen. Donald R. Cravins (D) 24.6%, Malcolm R. Carriere (D) 1.9%, physician Charles Boustany, Jr. (R) 38.6%, prof. / '96 candidate David Thibodaux (R) 9.7%,
Run Off Election Results
3rd Congressional District, 86.7% in '02, W. J. "Billy" Tauzin (R) retring after 13th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:8 Republican, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up, Democratic Target,
ex-St. Sen. / American Sugar Cane League Pres. Charles J. "Charlie" Melancon (D) 50.2%, William J. "Billy" Tauzin, III (R) 48.8%,
7th Congressional District, 86.8% in '02, 4th term, Christopher John (D) running for U.S. Senate
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 15:14 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Toss-up,
St. Sen. Willie L. Mount (D) 45.0%, physician Charles Boustany, Jr. (R) 55.0%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report
John J. Miller
Rothenberg Political Report
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Louisiana Political Parties:
(C) = Consitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(Pro) = Prohibition Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party (Protecting Working Families)
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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