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Missouri Secretary of State - Elections
2004 Missouri Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline 11/18/03, Presidential Primary: 2/3/04, Filing Deadline: 3/30/04, Primary: 8/3/04, Filing Deadline for Independents: 8/17/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 50.4% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Bush, Washington Post: Battleground State, Washington Times: Battleground, John Zogby: In Play, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 10:9 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 46.1%, George W. Bush (R) 53.3%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.4%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.2%,
Ralph Nader (WI) 0.04%,
Governor, 49.1% in '00, 1st term, Bob Holden (D) defeated in Primary, next election in 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Larry Sabato: Leans Republican, Congressional Quarterly: No Clear Favorite,
St. Auditor Claire C. McCaskill (D) 47.9%, Sec. of St. Matt Blunt (R) 50.8%, '00 nominee John M. Swenson (L) 0.9%,
'00 nominee Robert Wells (C) 0.4%,
Kenneth J. Johnson (WI) 0.002%,
Lt. Governor, 52.1% in '00, Joe Maxwell (D) retiring after 1st term, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,
attorney / ex-Sec. of St. Rebecca McDowell "Bekki" Cook (D) 48.4%, St. Sen. Peter Kinder (R) 48.9%, corporate recruiter Mike Ferguson (L) 2.0%,
Bruce Hillis (C) 0.6%,
Attorney General, 60.3% in '00, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Jeremiah W. "Jay" Nixon (D) 60.0%, attorney Chris W. Byrd (R) 37.7%, attorney David R. Browning (L) 1.6%,
David Fry (C) 0.7%,
Secretary of State, 51.4% in '00, 1st term, Matt Blunt (R) running for Governor, next election in 2004,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
attorney Robin Carnahan (D) 51.1%, St. Rep. Catherine L. Hanaway (R) 46.4%, businessman Christopher Davis (L) 1.9%,
'00 nominee Donna L. Ivanovich (C) 0.6%,
Treasurer, 51.5% in '00, Nancy Farmer (D) running for U.S. Senate after 1st term, next election in 2004
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Arnold Mayor Mark Powell (D) 46.1%, St. Sen. Sarah Steelman (R) 51.0%, consultant Lisa J. Emerson (L) 2.3%,
Chris Fluharty (C) 0.7%,
Senator, 52.7% in '98, 3rd term, Next election in 2004, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato: Likely Republican, John J. Miller: Likely Republican, New York Times: Remains Republican, Congressional Quarterly: Republican Favored, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 4:3 Republican,
St. Treas. Nancy Farmer (D) 42.8%, Christopher "Kit" Bond (R) 56.1%, graphic designer Kevin Tull (L) 0.7%,
Don Griffin (C) 0.4%,
1st Congressional District, 70.1% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 10:1 Democrat,
William L. "Lacy" Clay Jr. (D) 75.3%, train conductor Leslie L. Farr, II (R) 22.8%, Terry Chadwick (L) 1.4%,
Robert Rehbein (C) 0.5%,
2nd Congressional District, 67.1% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
ex-St. Rep. / '98 Reform Party St. Auditor nominee / '00 Reform Party Lt. Gov. nominee / '00 Reform party Presidential candidate George D. "Boots" Weber (D) 33.0%, W. Todd Akin (R) 65.4%, '02 nominee Darla R. Maloney (L) 1.4%,
David Leefe (C) 0.3%,
3rd Congressional District, 59.1% in '02, 14th term, Richard A. "Dick" Gephardt (D) ran for President
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,
St. Rep. Russ Carnahan (D) 52.9%, '98 & '00 nominee / author / historian Willliam J. "Bill" Federer (R) 45.1%, Kevin C. Babcock (L) 1.6%,
William J. Renaud (C) 0.4%,
Joseph Badaracco (WI),
4th Congressional District, 67.6% in '02, 14th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat,
Ike Skelton (D) 66.2%, ex-St. Sen. / '94 & '00 & '02 nominee James Alfred "Jim" Noland Jr. (R) 32.4%, Bill Lower (L) 1.0%,
Raymond Lister (C) 0.4%,
5th Congressional District, 65.9% in '02, Karen McCarthy (D) retiring afer 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat,
ex-Kansas City Mayor Emmanuel Cleaver, II (D) 55.2%, businesswoman Jeanne Patterson (R) 42.1%, realtor Rick Bailie (L) 2.0%,
Darin Rodenberg (C) 0.7%,
6th Congressional District, 63.0% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
ex-Co. Comm'r. / ex-St. Rep. Charlie Broomfield (D) 34.8%, Samuel B. "Sam" Graves, Jr. (R) 63.8%, teacher / '02 nominee Erik S. Buck (L) 1.4%,
7th Congressional District, 74.8% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
attorney / veteran Jim Newberry (D) 28.3%, Roy Blunt (R) 70.4%, paralegal / '02 California Congressional nominee Kevin Craig (L) 0.9%,
Steve Alger (C) 0.3%,
8th Congressional District, 71.8% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
Dean Henderson (D) 26.6%, Jo Ann H. Emerson (R) 72.2%, Stan Cuff (L) 0.7%,
Leonard J. Davidson (C) 0.5%,
9th Congressional District, 68.2% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Republican,
consultant Linda Jacobsen (D) 33.8%, Kenny C. Hulshof (R) 64.6%, Tamara Millay (L) 1.1%,
Chris Earl (C) 0.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
Cook Political Report,
John J. Miller,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Missouri Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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