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2004 New Jersey Congressional
2005 Statewide Races

Primary Filing Deadline: 4/12/04, Filing Deadline for Third Party / independent candidates: 6/8/04, Primary: 6/8/04, Presidential Primary: 6/8/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 7/26/04,
Last Updated: December 24, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 40.3% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Kerry, Cook Political Report: Likely Kerry, Washington Post: Kerry, Washington Times: Kerry, John Zogby: Kerry, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 10:9 Kerry,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 52.9%, George W. Bush (R) 46.2%, Ralph Nader (I) 0.5%,
Michael Badnarik (L) 0.1%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.1%,
David Cobb (G) 0.05%,
Walt Brown (S) 0.02%,
Bill Van Auken (SE) 0.01%,
Róger Calero (SW) 0.01%,
1st Congressional District, 92.7% in '02, 7th term, might run for Governor
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Robert E. Andrews (D) 75.0%, attorney S. Daniel Hutchison (R) 24.6%, Arturo Fulvio Croce (I) 0.3%,
2nd Congressional District, 69.2% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Republican,
HVAC technician Timothy J. Robb (D) 32.7%, Frank A. LoBiondo (R) 65.1%, Willie Norwood (I) 0.7%,
network administrator / '02 nominee Michael J. Matthews, Jr. (L) 0.7%,
attorney Jose David Alcantara (G) 0.6%,
'01 Governor nominee / '00 & '02 nominee / painter Constantino "Tino" Rozzo (S) 0.2%,
3rd Congressional District, 65.0% in '02, 10th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Republican,
St. AM / physician / attorney Herb Conaway (D) 34.6%, Jim Saxton (R) 63.4%, '98 & '00 nominee / marijuana legalization activist Edward "Rob" Forchion (M) 1.6%,
Frank Orland (L) 0.3%,
4th Congressional District, 66.1% in '02, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Republican,
attorney Amy Vasquez (D) 32.3%, Christopher H. Smith (R) 67.0%, software engineer Richard Edgar (L) 0.7%,
5th Congressional District, 59.5% in '02, 1st term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:3 Republican,
Dorothea A. "Anne" Wolfe (D) 41.1%, E. Scott Garrett (R) 57.6%, peace activist Victor Kaplan (L) 0.6%,
Thomas A. Phelan (Cns) 0.5%,
'00 & '02 Senate nominee / '94 congressional nominee Gregory "Greg" Pason (S) 0.2%,
6th Congressional District, 66.5% in '02, 9th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
Frank E. Pallone, Jr. (D) 66.9%, engineer Sylvester Fernandez (R) 30.8%, Virginia A. Flynn (L) 1.2%,
human rights advocate / adjunct instructor / '02 candidate Mac Dara Francis X. Lyden (I) 1.0%,
7th Congressional District, 58.0% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:3 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican,
securities broker / retired Lt. Col. Stephen "Steve" Brozak (D) 41.6%, Michael A. "Mike" Ferguson (R) 56.9%, marketing director / '02 nominee Thomas D. "Tom" Abrams (L) 0.7%,
musician Matthew Angus Williams (I) 0.7%,
8th Congressional District, 66.8% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat,
William J. "Bill" Pascrell Jr. (D) 69.5%, consultant George Ajjan (R) 28.7%, peace activist / '02 nominee Joseph A. "Joe" Fortunato (G) 1.9%,
9th Congressional District, 69.8% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Steven R. Rothman (D) 67.5%, ex-Fair Lawn Mayor Edward J. Trawinski (R) 31.7%, David Daly (L) 0.8%,
10th Congressional District, 84.5% in '02, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat,
Donald M. Payne (D) 96.9%, No Republican community service administrator Toy-Ling Washington (G) 1.8%,
reporter Sara J. Lobman (SW) 1.3%,
11th Congressional District, 72.4% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
township councilperson James W. "Jim" Buell (D) 31.0%, Rodney P. Frelinghuysen (R) 67.9%, anti-immigration activist John Mele (I) 0.6%,
investment banker/'96 & '98 nominee Austin S. Lett (L) 0.5%,
12th Congressional District, 61.0% in '02, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 2:1 Democrat,
Rush Dew Holt (D) 59.2%, realtor Bill Spadea (R) 39.7%, consultant Ken Chazotte (L) 0.5%,
civil rights activist Daryl M. Brooks (G) 0.5%,
13th Congressional District, 78.3% in '02, 7th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 8:1 Democrat,
Robert Menendez (D) 76.2%, Richard W. Piatkowski (R) 22.2%, '02 nominee / actuary Dick Hester (Cns) 0.8%,
'02 candidate / engineer Herbert H. Shaw (I) 0.7%,
Angela L. Lariscy (SW) 0.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to New Jersey Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(Cns) = Conservative Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(M) = Legalize Marijuana Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(SW) = Socialist Workers Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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