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New York State Board of Elections
2004 New York Congressional and Statewide Races
Presidential Primary Filing Deadline: 1/2/04, Presidential Primary: 3/2/04, Filing Period: 7/15/04, Primary: 9/14/04, Presidential / Independent Filing Deadline: 8/17/04, Nomination Deadline: 9/20/04,
Last Updated: December 26, 2004 |
| Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, |
President, 35.2% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Kerry, Cook Political Report: Solid Kerry, Washington Post: Kerry, Washington Times: Kerry, John Zogby: Kerry, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 2:1 Kerry, |
| U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D 56.6%, WF 1.8%) 58.4%, |
George W. Bush (R 38.0%, Cns 2.1%) 40.1%, |
Ralph Nader (Ind 1.1%, Peace and Justice 0.2%) 1.4%, |
| Michael Badnarik (L) 0.2%, |
| Róger Calero (SW) 0.03%, |
| Michael Peroutka (WI) 0.003%, David Cobb (WI) 0.001%, Van Auken (WI) 0.00003%, write in 0.0001%, |
Senator, 54.6% in '98, 1st term, next election in 2004, Current Polls, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic, Larry Sabato: Solid Democratic, New York Times: Remains Democratic, Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democrat, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 20:1 Democrat, |
| Charles E. Schumer (D 65.4%, Ind 3.2%, WF 2.5%) 71.2%, |
St. AM Howard D. Mills, III (R) 24.2%, |
'02 Congressional nominee ophthalmologist Marilyn F. O'Grady (Cns) 3.3%, |
| '00 Socialist Party Presidential nominee / peace activist David McReynolds (G) 0.5%, |
| '98 Lt. Gov. nominee Don Silberger (L) 0.3%, |
| developer ex-City Commr. Abe Hirschfeld (Builders) 0.2%, |
| national party chair Martin Koppell (SW) 0.2%, |
1st Congressional District, 50.2% in '02, 1st term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:   Democratic, Cook Political Report: Leans Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Rothenberg Political Report: Watch List, Larry Sabato: Leans Democratic, |
| Timothy H. "Tim" Bishop (D 50.6%, Ind 3.4%, WF 2.1%) 56.2%, |
ex-DoT official William "Bill" Manger, Jr. (R 39.8%, Cns 4.0%) 43.8%, |
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2nd Congressional District, 58.5% in '02, 2nd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, |
| Steve J. Israel (D 60.7%, Ind 3.9%, WF 2.0%) 66.6%, |
Richard Hoffmann (R 30.1%, Cns 3.3%) 33.4%, |
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3rd Congressional District, 71.9% in '02, 6th term, might run for Governor D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, |
| businessman Blair H. Mathies, Jr. (D) 37.0%, |
Peter T. King (R 55.6%, Cns 4.4%, Ind 2.9%) 63.0%, |
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4th Congressional District, 56.3% in '02, 4th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, |
| Carolyn McCarthy (D 58.5%, WF 1.7%, Ind 2.7%) 63.0%, |
Mayor James A. Garner (R 33.6%, Cns 3.4%) 37.0%, |
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5th Congressional District, 92.3% in '02, 11th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:1 Democrat, |
| Gary L. Ackerman (D 68.0%, Ind 1.7%, WF 1.6%) 71.3%, |
commodities trader Stephen Graves (R 25.6%, Cns 2.3%) 27.9%, |
ex-INS inspector / '04 GOP candidate Gonzalo "Jun" Policarpio, Jr. (For All Americans) 0.7%, |
6th Congressional District, 96.5% in '02, 4th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat, |
| Gregory W. Meeks (D 96.5%, WF 3.5%) 100%, |
No Republican |
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7th Congressional District, 73.3% in '02, 3rd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat, |
| Joseph Crowley (D 77.9%, WF 3.0%) 80.9%, |
attorney Joseph Cinquemain (R 16.9%, Cns 2.1%) 19.1%, |
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8th Congressional District, 76.1% in '02, 7th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 20:1 Democrat, |
| Jerrold L. Nadler (D 76.5%, WF 4.0%) 80.5%, |
attorney Peter Hort (R 17.5%, Ind 1.2%, Cns 0.8%) 19.5%, |
Millie Sanchez (SW/WI), |
9th Congressional District, 65.7% in '02 3rd term, might run for Mayor, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Democrat, |
| Anthony D. Weiner (D 68.5%, WF 2.8%) 71.3%, |
journalist / ex-teacher / '02 Governor candidate Gerard J. "Jerry" Cronin (R 25.0%, Ind 1.0%, Cns 2.6%) 28.7%, |
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10th Congressional District, 97.8% in '02, 11th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 50:1 Democrat, |
| Edolphus Towns (D 87.6%, WF 3.9%) 91.5%, |
prof. Harvey R. Clarke (R) 7.5%, |
Mariana Blume (Cns) 1.0%, |
11th Congressional District, 86.6% in '02, 11th term, retiring in 2006 D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat, |
| Major R. Owens (D 87.0%, WF 7.0%) 94.0%, |
No Republican |
Sol Lieberman (Cns) 2.9%, |
| Lorraine Stevens (Ind) 3.1%, |
12th Congressional District, 95.8% in '02, 6th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat, |
| Nydia M. Velázquez (D 80.3%, WF 5.9%) 86.3%, |
Paul A. Rodriguez (R 12.6%, Cns 1.2%) 13.7%, |
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13th Congressional District, 69.6% in '02, 4th term, might run for Mayor, Polls, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican, |
| ex-St. AM / NY Supreme Court Justice Frank J. Barbaro (D 37.7%, Ind 1.4%, WF 1.9%) 41.0%, |
Vito J. Fossella (R 53.6%, Cns 5.3%) 59.0%, |
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14th Congressional District, 75.3% in '02, 6th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat, |
| Carolyn B. Maloney (D 76.3%, Ind 2.0%, WF 2.6%) 81.0%, |
banker / '02 nominee Anton Srdanovic (R 18.2%, Cns 0.7%) 18.9%, |
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15th Congressional District, 88.5% in '02, 17th term, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 20:1 Democrat, |
| Charles B. Rangel (D 86.5%, WF 4.7%) 91.1%, |
Kenneth P. Jefferson, Jr. (R) 7.0%, |
physician Jessie Fields (Ind) 1.9%, |
16th Congressional District, 92.1% in '02, 8th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 10:1 Democrat, |
| José E. Serrano (D 91.0%, WF 4.2%) 95.2%, |
Ali Mohamed (R 4.2%, Cns 0.6%) 4.8%, |
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17th Congressional District, 62.6% in '02, 8th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, |
| Eliot L. Engel (D 73.3%, WF 2.8%) 76.1%, |
Matthew I. Brennan (R) 21.9%, |
consultant / '02 nominee Kevin Brawley (Cns) 1.9%, |
18th Congressional District, 92.0% in '02, 8th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 20:1 Democrat, |
| Nita M. Lowey (D 65.0%, Ind 3.0%, WF 1.8%) 69.8%, |
Richard A. Hoffman (R) 30.2%, |
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19th Congressional District, 70.0% in '02, 5th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, |
| consultnat Michael Jaliman (D) 33.3%, |
Sue W. Kelly (R 57.8%, Cns 4.5%, Ind 4.3%) 66.7%, |
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20th Congressional District, 73.3% in '02, 3nd term, might run for Governor D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Republican, |
| ex-teacher Doris F. Kelly (D) 33.7%, |
John E. Sweeney (R 57.0%, Cns 3.9%, Ind 4.9%) 65.8%, |
Morris N. Guller (Independent Centrist) 0.5%, |
21st Congressional District, 75.1% in '02, 8th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Democrat, |
| Michael R. McNulty (D 61.0%, Cns 0.3%, Ind 4.1%, WF 2.5%) 70.8%, |
activist / attorney Warren Redlich (R) 29.2%, |
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22nd Congressional District, 64.2% in '02, 6th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Democrat, |
| Maurice D. Hinchey (D 59.6%, Ind 4.1%, WF 3.4%) 67.2%, |
tax attorney William A. Brenner (R) 32.8%, |
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23rd Congressional District, unopposed in '02, 6th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 7:1 Republican, |
| surgeon Robert J. Johnson (D) 29.3%, |
John M. McHugh (R 60.1%, Cns 3.9%, Ind 6.6%) 70.7%, |
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24th Congressional District, 70.7% in '02, 10th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:   Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Republican, |
| prof. Jeffrey A. "Jeff" Miller (D) 33.9%, |
Sherwood L. "Sherry" Boehlert (R 51.1%, Ind 5.8%) 56.9%, |
Co. Leg. / Dr. / '02 & '04 Republican candidate & '02 Conservative party nominee David L. "Dave" Walrath (Cns) 9.2%, |
25th Congressional District, 72.3% in '02, 8th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican, |
| No Democrat |
James T. Walsh (R 74.2%, Cns 6.5%, Ind 9.6%) 90.4%, |
Howie Hawkins (Peace and Justice) 9.6%, |
26th Congressional District, 73.7% in '02, 3rd term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:1 Republican, |
| businessman / ex-GOPer Jack R. Davis, Jr. (D 41.1%, WF 3.2%) 44.4%, |
Thomas M. Reynolds (R 48.5%, Cns 3.8%, Ind 3.3%) 55.6%, |
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27th Congressional District, 69.0% in '02, Jack Quinn (R) retiring after 6th term, Polls, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:     Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Campaign & Election's Odds: 1:1, |
| St. AM Brian M. Higgins (D 45.0%, Ind 2.8%, WF 2.9%) 50.7%, |
Co. Compt. Nancy A. Naples (R 44.3%, Cns 5.0%) 49.3%, |
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28th Congressional District, 62.5% in '02, 9th term D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:1 Democrat, |
| Louise McIntosh Slaughter (D 68.4%, WF 4.2%) 72.6%, |
ex-defense dept. official Michael D. Laba (R 22.2%, Cns 2.5%) 24.8%, |
community activist Francina J. "Fran" Cartonia (Ind) 2.6%, |
29th Congressional District, 73.1% in '02, Amory R. Houghton, Jr. (R) retiring after 9th term, D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:   Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 5:4 Republican, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, |
| ex-congressional aide Samara "Sam" Barend (D 38.7%, WF 2.1%) 40.8%, |
St. Sen. John R. "Randy" Kuhl, Jr. (R) 50.6%, |
Co. Leg. Mark W. Assini (Cns) 6.4%, |
| attorney John Ciampoli (Ind) 2.1%, |
1. Link to Predictions:
2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, |
= Democrats take over control, |
= Republican retain control, |
= Republicans take over control, |
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, |
= Independent / 3rd Party take over control |
| Bold indicates incumbent. |
Yellow district indicates open races. |
| Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. |
Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control. |
| Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. |
Red boxes indicates Republicans took control. |
3. Key to New York Political Parties:
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