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2004 Pennsylvania Polls
2004 Pennsylvania Primary Polls
Last Updated on November 2, 2004
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
President Bush 48% Kerry 49% other 1% Survey USA 10/31-11/1/04 3.9%
Bush 46% Kerry 50% other Zogby International 10/29-11/104 4.1%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% Strategic Vision (R) 10/27-31/04 3%
Bush 47% Kerry 47% other Quinnipiac Univ. 10/27-31/04 3.1%
Bush 45% Kerry 50% other 2% Zogby International 10/28-31/04 4.1%
Bush 50% Kerry 46% Gallup 10/27-30/04 3% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 49% 3% RV
Bush 46% Kerry 49% other 3% Zogby International 10/27-30/04 4.1%
Bush 46% Kerry 48% other 0% Mason Dixon 10/26-29/04 4%
Bush 44% Kerry 47% other 3% Zogby International 10/26-29/04 4.1%
Bush 47% Kerry 47% other 1.7% Zogby International 10/25-28/04 4.1%
Bush 47% Kerry 48% Temple Univ. 10/22-27/04 2.6%
Bush 48% Kerry 48% Strategic Vision (R) 10/25-27/04 3%
Bush 44.6% Kerry 49.9% other 2% West Chester Univ. 10/24-27/04 3.7%
Bush 46% Kerry 49% other 0.7% Zogby International 10/24-27/04 4.1%
Bush 49% Kerry 47% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/22-26/04 3.3% LV
Bush 49% Kerry 45% Nader 2%
Bush 44% Kerry 45% 2.7% RV
Bush 44% Kerry 45 Nader 4%
Bush 47% Kerry 50% other Gallup 10/23-26/04 4% LV
Bush 46% Kerry 49% 3% RV
Bush 48% Kerry 48% other Los Angeles Times 10/22-26/04 4% LV
Bush 49% Kerry 47% Nader 0%
Bush 45% Kerry 48% other 3% RV
Bush 45% Kerry 48% Nader 1%
Bush 45% Kerry 49% other 1.1% Zogby International 10/23-26/04 4.1%
Bush 45% Kerry 53% other 1% Survey USA 10/23-25/04 3.5%
Bush 47% Kerry 50% American Research Group 10/23-25/04 4%
Bush 45% Kerry 48% other 1.6% Zogby International 10/22-25/04 4.1%
Bush 45% Kerry 47% other 1.5% Zogby International 10/21-24/04 4.1%
Bush 46% Kerry 51% Franklin & Marshall 10/19-23/04 5.1% LV
Bush 44% Kerry 49% 3.9% RV
Bush 46% Kerry 49% other 1% Rasmussen Reports 10/17-23/04 4%
Bush 46% Kerry 48% Nader Muhlenberg College 10/17-22/04 3.5% LV
Bush 44% Kerry 46% Nader Mason Dixon 10/19-21/04 3.5%
Bush 46% Kerry 51% Nader Quinnipiac Univ. 10/16-20/04 3.4% LV
Bush 44% Kerry 50% Nader 3%
Bush 41% Kerry 47% Nader 2.9% RV
Bush 41% Kerry 47% Nader 5%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% Nader Strategic Vision (R) 10/17-19/04 3%
Bush 46% Kerry 46% Nader 2%
Bush 46.1% Kerry 51.8% Nader 0.4% Zogby Interactive 10/13-18/04 2.6%
Bush 45% Kerry 46% other 1% Mason Dixon 10/15-18/04 4%
Bush 45% Kerry 51% other 2% Survey USA 10/15-17/04 4%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% other 3% Rasmussen Reports 10/6-12/04 4%
Bush 46% Kerry 48% Nader 2% Quinnipic Univ. 10/9-11/04 2.7% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 49% Nader
Bush 43% Kerry 46% Nader 2% 2.2% RV
Bush 42% Kerry 46% Nader
Bush 46% Kerry 45% Nader 1% Strategic Vision (R) 10/9-11/04 3%
Bush 46% Kerry 46% Nader
Bush 46% Kerry 48% Nader 1% American Research Group 10/4-6/04 4%
Bush 46.4% Kerry 51.8% Nader 0.2% Zogby Interactive 9/30-10/5/04 2.6%
Bush 41% Kerry 48% other 3% Franklin & Marshall Col. 9/30-10/4/04 4% RV
Bush 43% Kerry 49% other 2% 4% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 49% other 1% Survey USA 10/3-5/04 3.6%
Bush 43% Kerry 50.3% other .8% West Chester Univ. 10/1-4/04 4%
Bush 47% Kerry 47% other 2% Rasmussen Reports 9/25-10/1/04 4%
Bush 48% Kerry 45% Nader 1% Strategic Vision (R) 9/27-29/04 3%
Bush 48% Kerry 46% Nader
Bush 44% Kerry 45% Nader 2% Mason Dixon 9/27-28/04 4%
Bush 49% Kerry 46% Nader 1% Gallup 9/25-28/04 4% LV
Bush 50% Kerry 47% Nader
Bush 45% Kerry 49% Nader 3% 4% RV
Bush 46% Kerry 49% Nader
Bush 42% Kerry 46% Nader 4% Quinnipiac Univ. 9/22-26/04 3.6% LV
Bush 46% Kerry 49% Nader
Bush 47% Kerry 49% Nader Temple Univ. 9/16-23/04 3%
Bush 45% Kerry 48% Nader 1% Opinion Dynamics (R) 9/21-22/04 3.5%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% other 1% American Research Group 9/15-19/04 4%
Nader 1%
Bush 47.5% Kerry 50.6% Nader 0.1% Zogby Interactive 9/13-17/04 2.9%
Bush 44% Kerry 45% Nader 1% Mason Dixon 9/14-16/04 4%
Bush 49% Kerry 45% Nader Stratgic Vision (R) 9/13-15/04 3%
Bush 49% Kerry 44% Nader 1%
Bush 49% Kerry 49% other Franklin and Marshall 9/8-15/04 4.7% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 45% 4.4% RV
Bush 47% Kerry 44% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 9/11-14/04 3.5%
Bush 46% Kerry 42% Nader 6%
other 1%
Bush 49% Kerry 48% Nader ABC News 9/9-12/04 3.5% LV
Bush 49% Kerry 46% Nader 2%
Bush 48% Kerry 48% Nader 3% RV
Bush 47% Kerry 47% other 2%
Bush 49% Kerry 48% other 2% Rasmussen Reports 9/6-12/04 4%
Bush 47% Kerry 49% other 2% Survey USA 9/7-9/04 3.8%
Bush 48% Kerry 47% Nader Gallup 9/4-7/04 4% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 47% 4% RV
Bush 46.7% Kerry 49.5% Nader 1% Zogby Interactive 8/30-9/3/04 3%
Bush 47% Kerry 46% Nader Strategic Vision (R) 8/26-28/04 3%
Bush 47% Kerry 45% Nader 1%
Bush 48% Kerry 47% Nader Gallup 8/23-26/04 5% LV
Bush 47% Kerry 47% Nader 2%
Bush 44% Kerry 49% Nader 4% RV
Bush 43% Kerry 49% Nader 3%
Bush 45% Kerry 49% other 2% Rasmussen Reports 8/1-26/04 4%
Bush 45% Kerry 44% Nader 3% Princeton Survey Research Assoc. 8/13-21/04 4% LV
Bush 43% Kerry 45% Nader 3% 3% RV
Bush 44% Kerry 52.3% Nader 1% Zogby Interactive 8/16-21/04 3.3%
Bush 44% Kerry 50% Nader 4% Moore Information (R) 8/14-15/04 4%
Bush 44% Kerry 48% Nader 2% Strategic Vision (R) 8/16-18/04 3%
Bush 44% Kerry 49% Nader
Bush 42% Kerry 47% Nader 4% Quinnipiac Univ. 8/11-16/04 2.6%
Bush 43% Kerry 48% Nader
Bush 42% Kerry 48% Nader 3% Franklin & Marshall 8/2-15/04 3.8%
Bush 43% Kerry 48% Nader 2% Strategic Vision (R) 8/2-4/04 3%
Bush 43% Kerry 51% other
Bush 41% Kerry 53% other 3% Survey USA 7/31-8/2/04 3.7%
Bush 45% Kerry 46% other 5% Rasmussen Reports 7/1-31/04 4%
Bush 44.7% Kerry 52.7% Nader 0.7% Zogby Interactive 7/26-30/04 3.2%
Bush 45.3% Kerry 51.8% Nader 0.9% Zogby Interactive 7/19-23/04 3.3%
Bush 39% Kerry 51% Nader Los Angeles Times 7/17-21/04 4%
Bush 38% Kerry 48% Nader 5%
Bush 43% Kerry 48% other Strategic Vision (R) 7/18-20/04 3%
Bush 43% Kerry 47% Nader 1%
Bush 42% Kerry 49% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 7/6-11/04 2.5%
Bush 41% Kerry 46% Nader 5%
Bush 44.9% Kerry 52.2% Nader 0.9% Zogby Interactive 7/6-10/04 3.6%
Bush 43% Kerry 48% other 5% Rasmussen Reports 6/1-30/04 4%
Bush 47% Kerry 44% other 8% Opinion Dynamics 6/22-23/04 4%
Bush 46% Kerry 41% Nader 3%
other 9%
Bush 43% Kerry 49% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 6/21-22/04 3.4%
Bush 43% Kerry 44% Nader 7%
Bush 44.7% Kerry 51.7% Nader 1.5% Zogby Interactive 6/15-20/04 3.4%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% other 4% Survey USA 6/7-8/04 3.8%
Bush 44.9% Kerry 51.5% Nader 0.7% Zogby Interactive 6/1-6/04 3.6%
Bush 45% Kerry 44% other 5% Rasmussen Reports 5/1-31/04 4%
Bush 42% Kerry 45% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 5/24-25/04 3.7%
Bush 41% Kerry 44% Nader 6%
Bush 42.6% Kerry 50.8% Nader 1.8% Zogby Interactive 5/18-23/04 3.8%
Bush 43% Kerry 48% Nader Muhlenberg College 5/5-14/04 4.9%
Bush 46% Kerry 44% Nader Susquehanna Polling (R) 5/4-7 4%
Bush 43% Kerry 49% Nader Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D) 5/2-3/04 4%
Bush 42% Kerry 42% Nader 5% Princeton Survey Research 4/16-25/04 4%
Bush 46% Kerry 42% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 4/13-19/04 3.5%
Bush 45% Kerry 39% Nader 8%
other 1%
Bush 46% Kerry 40% Nader 3% Franklin & Marshall 3/26-30/04 4.1%
Bush 44% Kerry 45% other 5% Rasmussen Reports 3/14-16/04 4.5%
Bush 44% Kerry 40% Nader 7% Quinnipiac University 3/9-15/04 3.1%
Bush 44% Kerry 45% other 3%
Bush 47% Kerry 49% Survey USA 3/8-10/04 3.5%
Bush 44.9% Kerry 46.7% Mansfield Univ. 2/25-3/3/04 2.4%
Bush 46% Kerry 47% Franklin & Marshall 2/19-22/04 4.2%
Bush 45% Kerry 50% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 2/10-16/04 2.7%
Bush 49% Dean 43% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 12/11-14 3%
Bush 50% Lieberman 43% other 2%
Bush 50% Kerry 42% other 1%
Bush 50% Clark 41% other 2%
Bush 51% Gephardt 42% other 1%
Bush 44% Democratic Nominee 44% other 1% Muhlenberg College 11/23-12/8 4.7%
Bush 47% Kerry 40% other 2%
Bush 47% Clark 37% other 2%
Bush 49% Dean 39% other 2%
Bush 49% Lieberman 37% other 2%
Bush 48% Clark 43% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/9-13/03 3%
Bush 50% Lieberman 44% other 2%
Bush 50% Kerry 43% other 2%
Bush 50% Gephardt 42% other 2%
Bush 51% Dean 41% other 2%
Bush 55% Lieberman 37% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 5/13-20/03 3.2%
Bush 56% Kerry 34% other 1%
Bush 57% Gephardt 34% other 1%
Bush 43% Democratic Nominee 46% Quinnipiac Univ. 2/12-18/03 3%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
Senate Specter 53% Hoeffel 35% Clymer 8% Survey USA 10/31-11/1/04 3.9%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 7% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/27-31/04 3.1%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 32% other 5% Zogby International 10/28-31/04 4.1%
Specter 54% Hoeffel 31% other 3% Zogby International 10/27-30/04 4.1%
Specter 57% Hoeffel 28% other 3% Zogby International 10/26-29/04 4.1%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 30% other 5% Zogby International 10/25-28/04 4.1%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 29% Clymer 5% Temple Univ. 10/22-27/04 3%
Specter 55% Hoeffel 35% Clymer 4% Strategic Vision (R) 10/25-27/04 3%
Specter 53.1% Hoeffel 33.5% other 5.8% West Chester Univ. 10/24-27/04 4%
Specter 55% Hoeffel 29% other 5% Zogby International 10/24-27/04 4.1%
Specter 55% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 7% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/22-26/04 3.3% LV
Specter 52% Hoeffel 29% Clymer 6% 2.7% RV
Specter 54% Hoeffel 33% other 3% Zogby International 10/23-26/04 4.1%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 38% Clymer 6% Survey USA 10/23-25/04 3.5%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 35% other 2% Zogby International 10/22-25/04 4.1%
Specter 48% Hoeffel 38% other 2% Zogby International 10/21-24/04 4.1%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 31% Clymer 0% Franklin & Marshall 10/19-23/04 5.1% LV
Specter 52% Hoeffel 29% Clymer 2% 3.9% RV
Specter 50% Hoeffel 32% Clymer 7% Mason Dixon 10/19-21/04 3.5%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 36% Clymer 6% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/16-20/04 3.4% LV
Specter 55% Hoeffel 37% other 1%
Specter 49% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 5% 2.9% RV
Specter 52% Hoeffel 34% other 1%
Specter 54% Hoeffel 35% Clymer 4% Strategic Vision (R) 10/17-19/04 3%
Specter 48% Hoeffel 41% Clymer 6% Survey USA 10/15-17/04 4%
Specter 55% Hoeffel 36% other 1% Quinnipic Univ. 10/9-11/04 2.7% LV
Specter 51% Hoeffel 33% other 1% 2.2% RV
Specter 52% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 3% Strategic Vision (R) 10/9-11/04 3%
Specter 54% Hoeffel 35% other 9% Survey USA 10/3-5/04 3.6%
Specter 49% Hoeffel 30% other 1% West Chester Univ. 10/1-4/04 4%
Specter 44% Hoeffel 35% Clymer 7% Franklin & Marshall Col. 9/30-10/4/04 4%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 3% Strategic Vision (R) 9/27-29/04 3%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 31% Clymer Mason Dixon 9/27-28/04 4%
Specter 56% Hoeffel 37% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 9/22-26/04 3.6%
Specter 50% Hoeffel 35% Clymer Temple Univ. 9/16-23/04 3%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 30% Clymer 1% Opinion Dynamics (R) 9/21-22/04 3.5%
Summers 1%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 33% Clymer 4% Strategic Vision (R) 9/13-15/04 3%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 25% Clymer 5% Franklin and Marshall 9/8-15/04 4.4%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 33% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 9/11-14/04 3.5%
Specter 55% Hoeffel 38% other ABC News 9/9-12/04 3.5%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 33% other 12% Survey USA 9/7-9/04 3.8%
Specter 44% Hoeffel 41% other Global Strategy Group (D) 9/7-9/04 4%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 31% Clymer 4% Strategic Vision (R) 8/26-28/04 3%
Specter 54% Hoeffel 36% Clymer Princeton Survey Research Assoc. 8/13-21/04 3% RV
Specter 56% Hoeffel 36% 4% LV
Specter 49% Hoeffel 32% Clymer 3% Strategic Vision (R) 8/16-18/04 3.0%
Specter 48% Hoeffel 33% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 8/11-16/04 2.6%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 26% Clymer 2% Franklin & Marshall 8/2-15/04 3.8%
Specter 49% Hoeffel 34% other 12% Survey USA 7/31-8/2/04 3.7%
Specter 51% Hoeffel 36% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 7/6-11/04 2.5%
Specter 50% Hoeffel 35% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 6/21-22/04 3.4%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 23% Clymer 2% Neighborhood Research (R) 6/7-16/04 3.9%
Specter 58% Hoeffel 33% other 6% Survey USA 6/7-8/04 3.8%
Specter 49% Hoeffel 37% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 5/24-25/04 3.7%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 33% other Susquehanna Polling (R) 5/4-7 4%
Specter 52% Hoeffel 40% other 3% Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D) 5/04 4%
Specter 45% Hoeffel 29% other 3% Qunninipiac 3/9-15/04 3.1%
Specter 36% Someone else 44%
Specter 50% Hoeffel 31% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 2/10-16/04 2.7%
Specter 44% Someone else 40%
Specter 46% Hoeffel 32% other 1% Quinnipiac Univ. 12/11-14 3%
Specter 46% Someone else 44%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 30% Bennett Petts & Blumenthal (D) 12/3-4, 7/03 4%
Specter 47% Hoeffel 25% Franklin & Marshall 10/27-11/16/03 4%
Specter 50% Hoeffel 33% other 2% Quinnipiac Univ. 10/9-13/03 3%
Specter 46% Someone else 41%
Specter 53% Hoeffel 29% Quinnipiac Univ. 7/30-8/4 3%
Specter 46% Someone else 40%
Specter 46% Hoeffel 41% Mellman Group 6/10-12/03 4.4%
Specter 41% Someone else 35% Quinnipiac Univ. 2/4-10/03 2.9%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 3 English 58% Porter 26% Cooper & Secrest (D) 3/7-8/04 4.4%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 6 Gerlach 59% Murphy 20% Public Opinion Strategies (R) 6/8-9 5.24%
Republican Nominee 46% Democratic Nominee 40%
Gerlach 45% Murphy 24% Garin-Hart-Young (D) 6/3-4/04 4.1%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 8 Fitzpatrick 46% Schrader 30% Anzalone-Liszt Research (D) 8/25-30/04 4.4%
Republican 41% Democrat 42%
Fitzpatrick 45% Schrader 48% After Information
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 13 Brown 35% Schwartz 53% Keystone Poll 10/24-27/04 4.6%
Brown 34% Schwartz 45% Keystone Poll 9/16-21/04 4.9%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 15 Dent 53% Driscoll 20% Muhlenberg College 9/27-10/2 4.7%
Race Republican Democrat Others Pollster Dates MoE
House 17 Paterno 36% Holden 48% Diamond 1% American Research Group 10/14-15/04 5.5%
Paterno 31% Holden 57% Keystone 8/30-9/7 4.7%

1. Key to State Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party


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