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2004 Virginia Congressional Races
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Presidential Primary Filing Deadline: 12/12/03, Presidential Caucuses: 2/03/04, Presidential Primary: 2/10/04, Primary Filing Deadline: 4/9/04, Primary: 6/8/04, Presidential Filing Deadline: 8/20/04,
Last Updated: December 26, 2004
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
President, 52.5% in '00, 1st term, Current Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Bush, Cook Political Report: Likely Bush, Washington Post: Bush, Washington Times: Bush, John Zogby: Bush, Campaign & Elections: Oddsmaker: 12:11 Bush,
U.S. Sen. John F. Kerry (D) 45.5%, George W. Bush (R) 53.7%, Michael Badnarik (L) 0.3%,
Mike Peroutka (C) 0.3%,
write in votes 0.1%, Ralph Nader (WI) 0.07, David Cobb (G/WI) 0.003%, Walt Brown (S/WI) 0.0007%, Joseph Spence (WI) 0.00003%,
1st Congressional District, 95.9% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Jo Ann S. Davis (R) 78.6%, William A. Lee (IG) 20.0%,
write in votes 1.4%,
2nd Congressional District, 83.2% in '02, 2nd term, Edward L. "Ed" Schrock (R) resigned on 8/30/04.
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 6:5 Republican,
attorney / Iraq war veteran David B. Ashe (D) 44.8%, St. Del. Thelma Drake (R) 55.1%, write in votes 0.1%, Steve Wallace (IG/WI),
3rd Congressional District, 96.1% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Democrat,
Robert C. "Bobby" Scott (D) 69.3%, ex-St. Del. Winsome E. Sears (R) 30.5%, write in votes 0.1%, James Atkins (IG/WI),
4th Congressional District, 97.9% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
Jonathan R. Menefee (D) 35.5%, J. Randy Forbes (R) 64.5%, write in votes 0.1%, Roscoe Wise (IG/WI),
5th Congressional District, 63.5% in '02, 4th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
vintner Albert C. "Al" Weed, II (D) 36.3%, Virgil H. Goode, Jr. (R) 63.7%, write in votes 0.0%, Joe LeBlanc (IG/WI),
6th Congressional District, 97.1% in '02, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Robert W. "Bob" Goodlatte (R) 96.7%, write in votes 3.3%, ex-Roanoke NAACP president / '02 write in candidate Martin Jeffrey (WI),
7th Congressional District, 69.4% in '02, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
No Democrat Eric I. Cantor (R) 75.5%, author / psychotherapist W. Brad Blanton (IG) 24.3%,
write in votes 0.2%
8th Congressional District, 59.8% in '02, 7th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 3:2 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic,
James P. "Jim" Moran Jr. (D) 59.7%, consultant Lisa Marie Cheney (R) 36.9%, James T. "Jim" Hurysz (I) 3.1%,
write in votes 0.2%
9th Congressional District, 65.8% in '02, 11th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Election's Odds: 4:1 Democrat, Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic, Hotline: Sleeper
Frederick C. "Rick" Boucher (D) 59.3%, ex-NASCAR official Kevin R. Triplett (R) 38.9%, high school teacher Seth A. Davis (I) 1.7%,
write in votes 0.0%
10th Congressional District, 71.7% in '02, 12th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 9:1 Republican,
attorney / investment banker / Congressional aide James R. Socas (D) 36.1%, Frank Rudolph Wolf (R) 63.8%, write in size 0.1%, Timothy Lee "Tim" Unrine (IG/WI), Alan Grimes (L/WI)?,
11th Congressional District, 82.9% in '02, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Campaign & Election's Odds: 100:1 Republican,
ex-foreign service officer Kenneth Longmyer (D) 38.3%, Thomas M. Davis, III (R) 60.2%, freelance writer Joseph P. Oddo (IG) 1.4%,
write in votes 0.1%

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker
John Zogby,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Blue boxes indicates winner. Red boxes indicates change in party control.

3. Key to Virginia Political Parties:
(C) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(IG) = Independent Green Party

(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Social Democratic Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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