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2004 Presidential Race: 270 needed to Win
Presidential Graphics Last Updated on November 2, 2004

John F. Kerry
Too Close to Call
George W. Bush
18 states for 230 EV 7 states for 83 EV 26 states for 225 EV
11 states for 161 EV Outside MoE 7 states for 69 EV Within MoE 4 states Kerry leads for 57 EV 0 states Tied for 0 EV 3 states Bush leads for 26 EV 7 states for 73 EV Within MoE 19 states for 152 EV Outside MoE
Special Thanks to Jeffrey Sachs for Mapping Coordinates
Alabama: 9 EV: Bush 57% - Kerry 39% - other 2%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/25-27/04 Alaska: 3 EV: Bush 57% - Kerry 30% - Nader 1% - other 0%, MoE 4%, Dates: 9/13-16/04 Arizona: 10 EV: Bush 56% - Kerry 41% - other 2%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Arkansas: 6 EV: Bush 51% - Kerry 46% - other 2%, MoE: 4.3%, Dates: 10/31-11/1/04 California: 55 EV: Bush 43% - Kerry 54%, MoE: 3.6%, Dates: 10/19-31/04 Colorado: 9 EV: Bush 50% - Kerry 47% - other 2%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/30-11/1/04 Connecticut: 7 EV: Bush 44% - Kerry 50% - Nader 2%, MoE: 3.6%, Dates: 9/26-28/04 Delaware: 3 EV: Bush 37.6% - Kerry 45.2% - Nader 0.5% - others 0.8%, MoE 3.9%, Dates: 9/22-25/04 District of Columbia: 3 EV: Bush 11% - Kerry 78% - Nader 6% - other 1%, MoE 4%, Dates: 9/11-13/04 Florida: 27 EV: Bush 48% - Kerry 50%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/30-11/1/04 Georgia: 15 EV: Bush 55% - Kerry 42%, MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/27-31/04 Hawaii: 4 EV: Bush 46% - Kerry 45%, MoE 4%, Dates: 10/17-20/04 Idaho: 4 EV: Bush 59% - Kerry 30% - (Nader 3%) - other 1%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 9/8-10/04 Illinois: 21 EV: Bush 42% - Kerry 54%, MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Indiana: 11 EV: Bush 57% - Kerry 37% - Badnarik 1%, MoE: 3.2%, Dates: 10/25-29/04 Iowa: 7 EV: Bush 45% - Kerry 50%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 Kansas: 6 EV: Bush 60% - Kerry 37% - other 3%, MoE: 3.8%, Dates: 10/25-27/04 Kentucky: 8 EV: Bush 59% - Kerry 38% - other 1%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Louisiana: 9 EV: Bush 58% - Kerry 31%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/17-22/04 Maine: 4 EV: Bush 44% - Kerry 52% - other 2%, MoE: 3.2%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Maryland: 10 EV: Bush 43% - Kerry 54%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Massachusetts: 12 EV: Bush 36% - Kerry 50% - (Nader 2%), MoE: 3.5%, Dates: 9/25-10/5/04 Michigan: 17 EV: Bush 46% - Kerry 52%, MoE: 4.4%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 Minnesota: 10 EV: Bush 45% - Kerry 51%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 Mississippi: 6 EV: Bush 51% - Kerry 42%- Nader 1% - other 1%, MoE: 4%, Dates 9/14-17/21 Missouri: 11 EV: Bush 51.4% - Kerry 47.2% - (Nader 0.7%), MoE: 2.7%, Dates: 10/25-31/04 Montana: 3 EV: Bush 57% - Kerry 36% - Nader 1%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/18-20/04 Nebraska: 5 EV: Bush 61% - Kerry 32% - other 2%, MoE 3.1%, Dates: 10/15-20/04 Nevada: 5 EV: Bush 53% - Kerry 45% - other 2%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/30-11/1/04 New Hampshire: 4 EV: Bush 48% - Kerry 49% - other 1%, MoE: 3.1%, Dates: 10/28-11/1/04 New Jersey: 15 EV: Bush 43% - Kerry 48% - Nader 2%, MoE: 3.1%, Dates: 10/27-30/04 New Mexico: 5 EV: Bush 48% - Kerry 51%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 New York: 31 EV: Bush 37% - Kerry 52%, MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/25-28/04 North Carolina: 15 EV: Bush 53% - Kerry 45%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 North Dakota: 3 EV: Bush 55% - Kerry 35% - Nader 1% - other 1%, MoE 4%, Dates: 10/18-19/04 Ohio: 20 EV: Bush 49% - Kerry 43%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 Oklahoma: 7 EV: Bush 64% - Kerry 34% - (other 1%), MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Oregon: 7 EV: Bush 43.8% - Kerry 53.9% - (Nader 0.5%), MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/25-31/04 Pennsylvania: 21 EV: Bush 48% - Kerry 49% - other 1%, MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/31-11/1/04 Rhode Island: 4 EV: Bush 41% - Kerry 54% - other 3%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/25-27/04 South Carolina: 8 EV: Bush 54% - Kerry 43% - other 2%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 South Dakota: 3 EV: Bush 55% - Kerry 33% - other na, MoE: 4,9%, Dates: 10/21-24/04 Tennessee: 11 EV: Bush 50.4% - Kerry 47.1% - Nader 0.4%, MoE: 2.8%, Dates: 10/25-31/04 Texas: 34 EV: Bush 58% - Kerry 32% - other 1%, MoE: 3.4%, Dates: 10/11-28/04 Utah: 5 EV: Bush 69% - Kerry 24% - Nader 1% - other 2%, MoE: 2.8%, Dates: 10/21-28/04 Vermont: 3 EV: Bush 40% - Kerry 53% - Nader 3% - Badnarik 1%, MoE: 5%, Dates: 10/10-12/04 Virginia: 13 EV: Bush 51% - Kerry 47%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Washington: 11 EV: Bush 43.4% - Kerry 54.6% - Nader 0.3%, MoE: 2.3%, Dates: 10/25-31/04 West Virginia: 5 EV: Bush 50.1% - Kerry 45.6% - Nader 0.2%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/25-31/04 Wisconsin: 10 EV: Bush 45% - Kerry 51%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/29-11/1/04 Wyoming: 3 EV: Bush 65% - Kerry 29% - Nader 2% - other 0%, MoE 4%, Dates: 9/9-11/04
2004 Governor Races
Governor Graphics Last Updated on November 1, 2004
Blue
Democratic Take Over
Cyan
Democrats Retention
Green
Toss Up
Gray
No Election
Pink
Republican Retention
Red
Republican Take Over
No Governor Race in Gray States
Delaware: Minner 42% - Lee 26% - Infante 2%, MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 9/22-25/04 Indiana: Kernan 42% - Daniels 48% - Gividen 3%, MoE: 3.2%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Kentucky Final Results: Fletcher 55% - Chandler 45% Louisiana Final Results: Blanco 52% - Jindal 48% Missouri: McCaskill 47% - Blunt 47% - other 4%, MoE: 3.8%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 Montana: Brown 43% - Schweitzer 48% - Jones 0.5% - Kelleher 0.6%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/18-20/04 New Hampshire: Benson 47% - Lynch 46% - other 1%, MoE: 3.1%, Dates: 10/28-11/1/04 North Carolina: Easley 55% - Ballantine 41% - other 3%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 North Dakota: Hoeven 70% v. Satrom 22%, MoE 4%, Dates 10/18-19/04 Utah: Huntsman 54% - Matheson 35% - Larsen 1% - other <1%, MoE: 2.8%, Dates: 10/21-28/04 Vermont: Douglas 51% - Calvelle 37% - Macia 1%, MoE: 5%, Dates: 10/10-12/04 Washington: Gregoire 47% - Rossi 44%, MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 West Virginia: Manchin 57% - Warner 24%, MoE 4%, Date 10/12-14
2004 U.S. Senate Races
Senate Graphic Last Updated on November 1, 2004
Blue
Democratic Take Over
Cyan
Democrats Retention
Green
Toss Up
Magenta
No Polls
Pink
Republican Retention
Red
Republican Take Over
No Senate Race in Gray States
Alabama: Shelby v. Sowell Alaska: Murkowski 48% - Knowles 43%, MoE: 5%, Dates: 10/28-29, 31/04 Arizona: McCain (R) v. Starky (D) Hancock (L) Arkansas: Lincoln 53% - Holt 43% - other 3%, MoE 4.3%, Dates: 10/31-11/1/04 California: Boxer 56% - Jones 36% - other 6%, MoE: 3.6%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 Colorado: Coors 47% - Salazar 51%, MoE: 3.8%, Dates: 10/30-11/1/04 Connecticut: Dodd 69% - Orchulli 24%, MoE: 3.6%, Dates: 9/26-28/04 Florida: Martinez 49% - Castor 45%, MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 Georgia: Majette 40% - Isakson 56% - other 4%, MoE 4%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Hawaii: Inouye Evans or Yoon (D) vs. Cavasso Deluze Friedheim or Payne (R) and Mallan (L) Brown (I), Brewer (I) Idaho: Crapo (R) v. McClure (WI) Illinois: Keyes 27% - Obama 66%, MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Indiana: Bayh 61% - Scott 34%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/27-29/04 Iowa: Grassley 67% - Small 20%, MoE: 3.7%, Dates: 10/30-31/04 Kansas: Brownback 59% - Jones 26%, MoE 4%, Date 10/22-26/04, Kentucky: Bunning 51% - Mongiardo 42% - (other 5%,) MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Louisiana: Vitter (R) 48% - John (D) 22% - Kennedy (D) 13%  - Morrell (D) 3%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/26-28/04 Maryland: Mikulski 66% - Pipkin 29%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/25-26/04 Missouri: Bond 57% - Farmer 38% - other 4%, MoE: 3.8%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 Nevada: Reid 58% - Ziser 34% - other 0.7%, MoE: 4.1%, Dates: 10/28-31/04 New Hampshire: Gregg 63% - Haddock 27% - other 1%, MoE: 3.1%, Dates: 10/28-11/1/04 New York: Schumer 72% - Mills 16% - O'Grady 6%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/25-26/04 North Carolina: Bowles 45% - Burr 50% - other 4%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 North Dakota: Dorgan 71% v. Liffrig 20%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/18-19/04 Ohio: Voinovich 65.0% - Fingerhut 34.8% - other 0.2%, MoE: 3.3%, Dates: 10/27-31/04 Oklahoma: Coburn 47% - Carson 39% - Bilyeu 8% - (other 3%), MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/28-30/04 Oregon: Wyden 58% - King 31%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 9/13-16/04 Pennsylvania: Specter 53% - Hoeffel 35% - Clymer 8%, MoE: 3.9%, Dates: 10/31-11/1/04 South Carolina: Tenenbaum 41% - DeMint 52% - other 7%, MoE: 4%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 South Dakota: Daschle 46% - Thune 49%, MoE: 3.5%, Dates: 10/25-26/04 Utah: Bennett 65% - Van Dam 22% - Van Horn 2% - Labonte <1% - other <1%, MoE: 2.8%, Dates: 10/21-28/04 Vermont: Leahy 67% -  McMullen 21%, MoE 5%, Dates: 10/10-12/04 Washington: Murray 50% - Nethercutt 42%, MoE: 3%, Dates: 10/29-31/04 Wisconsin: Feingold 56% - Michels 42%, MoE: 3.7%, Dates: 10/30-31/04

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