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D.C.'s Political Report: Pennsylvania Congressional and Statewide Races

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Pennsylvania Department of State - Bureau of Commissions, Elections and Legislation
2006 Pennsylvania Congressional and Statewide Primary Results
Primary Filing Deadline: 3/7/06, Primary: 5/16/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 8/1/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: May 17, 2006
Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,
Governor, 53.6% in '02, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Campaign & Elections' Odds: 5:4 Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Lean Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic, Chuck Todd: 12th Most Vulnerable Governor, Tim Saler: Weak Democratic Advantage,
Edward G. "Ed" Rendell (D), ex-football player Lynn C. Swann (R), Hagan Smith (C),
Marakay J. Rogers (G),
Drake Minder (I),
PA Clean Sweep founder Russ Diamond (CS),
Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., 53.6% in '02, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,
Catherine Baker Knoll (D) 62.0%, Allegheny Co. Recorder of Deeds Valerie McDonald Roberts (D) 19.8%, William A. Hall, III (D) 12.5%, political consultant Gene Stilp (D) 5.7%, ex-U.S. Rep. / '04 Senate nominee Joseph M. Hoeffel (D) withdrew Co. Comm'r. James R. "Jim" Matthews (R), Christina Valente (G),
Senator, 52.5% in '00, 2nd term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democrat, Campaign & Elections' Odds: 15:14 Democrat, Chris Cillizza: Most Likely Senate Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Democratic, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Roll Call Analysis: Toss Up, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leaning Democratic, Chuck Todd: Most vulnerable Senator, Tim Saler: Weak Democratic Advantage,
St. Treas. Robert P. "Bob" Casey Jr. (D) 84.5%, prof. Charles "Chuck" Pennacchio (D) 9.0%, attorney Alan M. Sandals (D) 6.5%, Richard J. "Rick" Santorum (R), Carl Romanelli (G),
Penn State engineer '00 congressional nominee Thomas A. "Tom" Martin (L),
Carl Edwards (C),
1st Congressional District, 86.3% in '04, 4th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Robert A. "Bob" Brady (D), No Republican
2nd Congressional District, 88.0% in '04, 6th term, might run for mayor in 2007,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Chaka Fattah (D), Michael Gessner (R), chess instructor Dave Baker (G),
3rd Congressional District, 60.1% in '04, 6th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
'04 nominee / retired prof. Steven C. Porter (D), Philip S. "Phil" English (R), Tim Hagberg (C),
Ed Tonkin (L),
4th Congressional District, 63.1% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican,
fundraiser Jason Altmire (D) 54.9%, businesswomen Georgia Berner (D) 45.1%, Melissa A. Hart (R), Dave Smith (C),
5th Congressional District, 88.0% in '04, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
ex-Co. Comm'r. / businessman Donald L. Hilliard (D), John E. Peterson (R), Alan Kiser (C),
ex-prof. Berlie Etzel, Jr. (L),
restaurant owner Ed Walko (I),
6th Congressional District, 51.0% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 6th Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss Up, Roll Call Analysis: Toss Up, Stuart Rothenberg's top ten endangered incumbents, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up,
ex-Co. Att. / '04 nominee Lois Murphy (D) 76.2%, attorney Mike Leibowitz (D) 23.8%, Jim Gerlach (R),
7th Congressional District, 58.8% in '04, 10th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 7th Most Vulnerable House Seat,
ex-NSC Defense Dir. / Navy Admiral Joseph A. "Joe" Sestak (D), Curt Weldon (R),
8th Congressional District, 55.3% in '04, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Leans Republican, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republicans, Chuck Todd: 19th Most Vulnerable House Seat,
Iraqi veteran Patrick J. Murphy (D) 64.57%, ex-Comm'r. Andrew L. Warren (D) 35.43%, Michael G. Fitzpatrick (R),
9th Congressional District, 69.6% in '04, 3rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
Tony Barr (D/WI), Stanley Hetz (D/WI)?, William "Bill" Shuster (R),
10th Congressional District, 92.8% in '04, 4th term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Likely Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican,
prof. Christopher P. "Chris" Carney (D), Donald L. "Don" Sherwood (R) 56.5%, Kathy Scott (R) 43.5%, '04 nominee Veronica A. "Niki" Hannevig (C),
'02 nominee Kurt Shotko (G)?, Dr. Farouk Georgy (G),
11th Congressional District, 94.4% in '04, 11th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Paul E. Kanjorski (D), Chiropractor Joseph F. Leonardi (R),
12th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 17th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
John P. Murtha (D), Washington Co. Comm'r. Diana L. Irey (R), peace activist Gabe "Red Gabe" Ross (S),
Don John (C),
13th Congressional District, 55.7% in '04, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Democratic,
Allyson Y. Schwartz (D), Raj Peter Bhakta (R), '04 nominee Chuck Moulton (R),
14th Congressional District, unopposed in '04, 6th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,
Michael F. "Mike" Doyle (D) 75.8%, civics teacher Mike Isaac (D) 24.2%, No Republican prof. Titus North (G),
15th Congressional District, 58.6% in '04, 1st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican,
Northampton Co. councilor Charles M. Dertinger (D/WI), Greta Browne (D/WI), software developer Bob Dodge (D/WI), Iraqi war vet Justin Valera Behrens (D/WI), Charles W. "Charlie" Dent (R), Greta Browne (G),
16th Congressional District, 64.4% in '04, 5th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
prof. / '04 nominee author Lois Kathryn Herr (D), Joseph R. Pitts (R), management consultant John Murphy (Populist),
17th Congressional District, 59.1% in '04, 7th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Democratic,
T. Timothy Holden (D), Afghan veteran Matthew A. Wertz (R),
18th Congressional District, 62.8% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
businessman Chad Kluko (D) 53.03%, U.S. Navy veteran educator Thomas "Tom" Kovach (D) 46.97%, Tim Murphy (R),
19th Congressional District, 91.5% in '04, 3rd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,
college prof. / ex-school boad pres. Philip J. "Phil" Avillo, Jr. (D), Todd Platts (R), Union Township Auditor Derf Maitland (G),

1. Link to Predictions:
D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,
Tim Saler,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,
= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,
= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control
Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.
Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.
Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Pennsylvania Political Parties:
(CS) = Constitution Party
(D) = Democratic Party
(G) = Green Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party
(R) = Republican Party
(S) = Socialist Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates


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