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Arizona Secretary of State - Election Department
2006 Arizona Congressional and Statewide Races
New Party Filing Deadline 3/16/06, Primary Filing Deadline: 6/14/06, Independent Filing Period 6/14/06, Primary Write-in Deadline 8/3/06, Primary: 9/12/06, Write-In Deadline 9/28/06, General Election: 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006 |
| Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties, |
Governor, 46.2% in '02, 1st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Solid Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat, Chuck Todd: 14th Least Vulnerable Governor, |
| Janet Napolitano (D) 62.6%, |
conservative activist Len Munsil (R) 35.4%, |
2000 presidential candidate / '00 Senate nominee / '02 Gov. nominee / businessman Barry J. Hess, II (L) 2.0%, |
| Arthur Ray Arvizu (WI) 0.0%, Robert B. Winn (WI) 0.0%, Brian "Mr. Wright" Wright (WI) 0.0%, |
Secretary of State, 49.4% in '02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Republican, |
| dir. of contractor resistar Israel Torres (D) 39.4%, |
Jan Brewer (R) 57.2%, |
Ernest Hancock (L) 3.4%, |
| Selena A. Naumoff (WI) 0.0%, |
Attorney General, 51.9% in'02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, |
| Samuel P. "Terry" Goddard (D) 60.2%, |
Attorney / Veteran Bill Montgomery (R) 39.8%, |
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Treasurer, 51.2% in '02, 1st term, David Petersen (R) not seeking re-election,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, |
| businesswoman Rano Singh (D) 43.3%, |
St. Sen. Dean Martin (D) 56.7%, |
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Superintendent of Schools, 50.1% in'02, 1st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, |
| ex-teacher / recruiter Jason Williams (D) 46.3%, |
Tom Horne (R) 53.7%, |
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Mine Inspector, 57.0% in '02, Douglas K. Martin (R) barred from re-election
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, |
| No Democrat |
ex-St. Rep. Joe Hart (R) 100%, |
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Senator, 79.1% in '00, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Chris Cillizza: 10th Most Likely Senate Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Narrow Advantage Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 11th most vulnerable Senator, Scott Rasmussen's Balance of Power: GOP, |
| state party chair Jim Pederson (D) 43.5%, |
Jon Kyl (R) 53.3%, |
Richard Mack (L) 3.2%, |
| Stephen "The Penny Man" Baker (WI) 0%, Ray Caplette (WI) 0%, |
1st Congressional District, 58.5% in '04, 2nd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Lean Republican, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Republican, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Republican, Chuck Todd: 43rd Most Vulnerable House Seat, |
| attorney Ellen Simon (D) 43.4%, |
Rick Renzi (R) 51.8%, |
public relations manager David Schlosser (L) 4.8%, |
2nd Congressional District, 59.2% in '04, 2nd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, |
| John Thrasher (D) 38.9%, |
Trent Franks (R) 58.6%, |
Powell Gammill (L) 2.5%, |
| William Crum (WI) 0%, |
3rd Congressional District, 80.1% in '04, 6th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, |
| ex-United Way of Ca. exec. dir. / consultant Herbert "Herb" Paine (D) 38.2%, |
John Shadegg (R) 59.3%, |
'02 & '04 nominee / computer consultant Mark Yannone (L) 2.5%, |
4th Congressional District 70.1% in '04, 8th term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic, |
| Ed Pastor (D) 72.5%, |
'02 candidate / '04 nominee Don Karg (R) 23.9%, |
Harders (L) 3.6%, |
5th Congressional District, 59.5% in '04, 6th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating:  Democrat, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: No Clear Favorite, Cook Political Report: Toss up, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Republican, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Tossup, Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up / Tilt Democratic, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up, Chuck Todd: 20th Most Vulnerable House Seat, |
| St. Sen. Harry E. Mitchell (D) 50.4%, |
J.D. Hayworth (R) 46.4%, |
Warren Severin (L) 3.1%, |
6th Congressional District, 79.4% in '04, 3rd term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican, |
| No Democrat |
Jeffrey Flake (R) 74.8%, |
Jason M. Blair (L) 25.2%, |
7th Congressional District, 62.0% in '04, 2nd term
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Democratic, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic, |
| Raul M. Grijalva (D) 61.1%, |
ex-Avondale Mayor Ron Drake (R) 35.4%, |
James Cobb (L) 3.6%, |
8th Congressional District, 60.4% in '04, James T. "Jim" Kolbe (R) retiring 12th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Chris Cillizza: Most Likely Seat to Switch Party, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, Evans & Novack's Outlook: Likely Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat Favored, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democrat, Chuck Todd: Most Vulnerable House Seat, Washington Post's Countdown: Leans Democrat, |
| ex-St. Sen. Gabrielle "Gabby" Giffords (D) 54.3%, |
ex-St. Rep. / '04 candidate Randy Graf (R) 42.1%, |
ex-National party chair / '00 California Congressional candidate David F. Nolan (L) 1.9%, |
| Jay Quick (I) 1.7%, |
| Russ Dove (WI) 0.0%, Leo F. Kimminau, Sr. (WI) 0.0%, Paul Price (WI) 0.0%, |
1. Link to Predictions:
2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.
| = Democrat retain control, |
= Democrats take over control, |
| = Republican retain control, |
 = Republicans take over control, |
 = Independent / 3rd Party retains control, |
 = Independent / 3rd Party take over control |
| Bold indicates incumbent. |
Yellow district indicates open races. |
| Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. |
Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control. |
| Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. |
Red boxes indicates Republicans took control. |
3. Key to Arizona Political Parties:
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