D.C.'s Political Report: Kansas Congressional and Statewide Races

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Kansas Secretary of State - Elections and Legislative Matters Division

2006 Kansas Congressional and Statewide Races
Primary Filing Deadline: 6/12/06, 3rd Party Nomination Deadline: 6/12/06, Independent Filing Deadline: 7/31/06, Primary: 8/1/06, General Election 11/7/06,
Last Updated: December 2, 2006

Predictions, Notes, List of State Parties,

Gover nor, 52.9% in '02, 1^st term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic, Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democrat, Chuck Todd: 7th Least Vulnerable Governor,

Kathleen Sebelius (D) 57.9%, St. Sen. Jim Barnett (R) 40.4%, Carl Kramer (L) 1.0%,

Richard Lee Ranzau (Rfm) 0.6%,

Randall G. Trackwell (WI) 0.0%,

Lt. Governor - Tied with Gov., 52.9% in '02, 1^st term, John Moore (D) not seeking re-election, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,

ex-GOP chair Mark Parkinson (D) 57.9%, St. Sen. Susan Wagle (R) 40.4%, Kalor A. Hebron (L) 1.0%,

Ellen L. Verell (Rfm) 0.6%,

Attorney General, 50.3% in '02, 1^st term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic,

DA Paul J. Morrison (D) 58.5%, Phill Kline (R) 41.5%,

Secretary of State, 65.4% in '02, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

'02 nominee David Haley (D) 32.0%, Ron Thornbourgh (R) 63.6%, Rob Hodgkinson (L) 2.6%,

Joseph L. Martin (Rfm) 1.6%,

Treasurer, 56.4% in '02, 1^st term, might run for Governor
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

Co. Treas. Larry Wilson (D) 35.6%, Lynn Jenkins (R) 64.4%,

Insurance Commissioner, 57.4% in '02, 1^st term, next election in 2006
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican,

St. Rep. Bonnie Sharp (D) 32.7%, Sandy Praeger (R) 63.0%, Patrick Wilbur (L) 4.2%,

1st Congressional District, 90.7% in '04, 5^th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,

ex-teacher / businessman John Doll (D) 19.9%, Jerry Moran (R) 78.6%, Sylvester Cain (Rfm) 1.4%,

2nd Congressional District, 56.1% in '04, 5^rd term, Polls
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Republican Favored, Cook Political Report: Toss up, New York Times Ratings: Leaning Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Leans Republican, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Republican,Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up,

pharmaceutical researcher / '04 nominee Nancy Boyda (D) 50.6%, Jim R. Ryun (R) 47.1%, Roger D. Tucker (Rfm) 2.2%,

3rd Congressional District, 54.8% in '04, 4^th term,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Democratic, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Democrat Favored, Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic, New York Times Ratings: Safe Democrat, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Democratic,

Dennis Moore (D) 64.6%, banker Chuck Ahner (R) 33.6%, '04 Democratic Senate candidate Robert A. Conroy (Rfm) 1.7%,

4th Congressional District, 66.1% in '04, 6^th term, Polls,
D.C.'s Political Report's Rating: Republican, Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard: Safe Republican, Cook Political Report: Solid Republican, New York Times Ratings: Safe Republican, Roll Call Analysis: Safe Republican,

Garth J. McGinn (D) 33.9%, Todd Tiahrt (R) 63.5%, state Party chair Joy R. Holt (Rfm) 2.5%,

1. Link to Predictions:

D.C.'s Political Report,
Washington Post's Chris Cillizza,
Campaign & Elections: Political Oddsmaker,
Congressional Quarterly's Scorecard,
Cook Political Report,
Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball,
Roll Call Analysis,
National Journal's Chuck Todd,
Rothenberg Political Report,

2. D.C.'s Political Report's stars indicate the rating of the race from 1 star to 5 stars depending on its entertainment value.
The color indicates D.C.'s Political Report's prediction of the winning party.

= Democrat retain control, = Democrats take over control,

= Republican retain control, = Republicans take over control,

= Independent / 3rd Party retains control, = Independent / 3rd Party take over control

Bold indicates incumbent. Yellow district indicates open races.

Light Blue boxes indicates Democrats maintained control. Light Red boxes indicates Republicans maintained control.

Blue boxes indicates Democrats took control. Red boxes indicates Republicans took control.

3. Key to Kansas Political Parties:
(D) = Democratic Party
(I) = independent candidates
(L) = Libertarian Party (Rfm) = Reform Party
(R) = Republican Party
(WI) = Write-in candidates